Excelsior - NEC Nijmegen: our prediction
04/04/2026•21:00
Excelsior
0:2
(0:1)
Finished
NEC Nijmegen
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1
-
X
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2
Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen Preview — Eredivisie
Excelsior hosts NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie. NEC is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.91, showing solid form (5 wins in the last 10 matches). Excelsior, struggling (1 win in 10), will need to rely on their home status to resist. Recent statistics suggest an open match with goals from both sides.
Our Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen predictions
Both teams to score
In the last 10 matches, Excelsior has seen both teams score in 70% of cases (7/10), and NEC in 80% of cases (8/10). Defenses are unreliable: only 2 clean sheets each in 10 matches. NEC's attack is performing (high goal average), and Excelsior, at home, usually finds the back of the net. A scenario with goals from both sides is very likely.
1.5
Confidence
High
NEC Nijmegen to win
NEC is clearly in better form with 5 wins against only 2 defeats in the last 10 matches. Excelsior has won only once in the same period (5 defeats). The bookmakers' odds confirm this imbalance (1.91 for NEC vs. 3.35 for Excelsior). NEC also has a good habit of not losing when favored (4 matches undefeated out of 6). However, Excelsior's home factor and their ability to score urge caution, hence medium confidence. This bet is compatible with 'Over 2.5' and 'BTTS' if the final score is, for example, 1-2.
1.85
Confidence
Medium
Over 2.5 goals per match
Offensive statistics support this bet. NEC has exceeded 2.5 total goals in 70% of its last 10 matches (7/10). Excelsior, less prolific, did so in 50% of cases (5/10). NEC's recent trend towards matches with over 2.5 goals (6 times out of 10 for Over 3.5!) and Excelsior's weak defense (8 goals conceded on average in 10 matches) point to a match with at least 3 goals. The combination with 'Both Teams to Score' is consistent.
1.53
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 1 4 5 | 5 3 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 50% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 0% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 13% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider | 13% | 50% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 80% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 40% |
2nd half | 60% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Derensili Sanches Fernandes | 40% (4/10) | 30% (3/10) | Bryan Linssen |
| Noah Naujoks | 30% (3/10) | 20% (2/10) | Noe Lebreton |
| Arthur Zagre | 22% (2/9) | 20% (2/10) | Tjaronn Chery |
| Irakli Yegoian | 10% (1/10) | 25% (2/8) | Basar Onal |
| Lennard Hartjes | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Darko Nejasmic |
| Casper Widell | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Youssef El Kachati |
| Szymon Wlodarczyk | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Koki Ogawa |
| Gyan de Regt | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Sami Ouaissa |
11% (1/9) | Danilo |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Derensili Sanches Fernandes | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Bryan Linssen |
| Noah Naujoks | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Tjaronn Chery |
| Arthur Zagre | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Noe Lebreton |
| Irakli Yegoian | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Basar Onal |
| Casper Widell | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Sami Ouaissa |
| Szymon Wlodarczyk | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Danilo |
| Gyan de Regt | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Youssef El Kachati |
| Lennard Hartjes | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Koki Ogawa |
⚽1 | Darko Nejasmic |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 100% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 40% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 70% |
1.5 | 10% | 40% |
2.5 | 0% | 30% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Excelsior
5-4-1CoachRuben den Uil
Starting XI
Substitutes
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1CoachDick Schreuder
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | PSV Eindhoven | 79%(27/34) |
| 2 |  | Feyenoord | 56%(19/34) |
| 3 | | NEC Nijmegen | 47%(16/34) |
| 4 |  | FC Utrecht | 44%(16/36) |
| 5 |  | Ajax | 42%(15/36) |
| 6 |  | FC Twente | 44%(15/34) |
| 7 |  | AZ Alkmaar | 41%(14/34) |
| 8 |  | FC Groningen | 40%(14/35) |
| 9 |  | SC Heerenveen | 40%(14/35) |
| 10 |  | Sparta Rotterdam | 35%(12/34) |
| 11 |  | Fortuna Sittard | 32%(11/34) |
| 12 | | Excelsior | 29%(10/34) |
| 13 |  | Telstar | 26%(9/34) |
| 14 |  | PEC Zwolle | 26%(9/34) |
| 15 |  | Go Ahead Eagles | 24%(8/34) |
| 16 |  | FC Volendam | 24%(8/34) |
| 17 |  | NAC Breda | 18%(6/34) |
| 18 |  | Heracles | 15%(5/34) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Eredivisie
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Eredivisie. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Eredivisie est l'une des compétitions majeures de Netherlands. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Eredivisie, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
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