Union Berlin - St. Pauli: our prediction
05/04/2026•15:30
Union Berlin
1:1
(0:1)
Finished
St. Pauli
-
1
-
X
-
2
Union Berlin vs St. Pauli Preview — Bundesliga
Union Berlin, the bookmakers' favorite, hosts St. Pauli. Recent statistics show a home team in difficulty (2 wins, 6 defeats in the last 10 matches) against a more solid away opponent. Both teams often score, but defenses are leaky. An open match is expected.
Our Union Berlin vs St. Pauli predictions
Union Berlin - Under 1.5 goals
Union Berlin has scored under 1.5 goals in 90% of its last 10 matches (9/10). The attack is not very prolific (top scorers: 2 goals). Against a St. Pauli defense that does not concede many (2 clean sheets, but 8 matches with goals conceded), it is likely that Union Berlin scores 1 goal or less.
1.4
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals
Union Berlin has seen over 2.5 goals in 50% of its last 10 matches, St. Pauli in 60%. Offensive trends (Union Berlin: 7 matches with +1.5 goals; St. Pauli: 8 matches with +1.5 goals) and defensive weaknesses (Union Berlin: 8 matches without a clean sheet) support this scenario. A score like 1-2 or 2-1 is plausible.
2.3
Confidence
Medium
Both teams to score
In the last 10 matches, Union Berlin has seen both teams score in 50% of cases, and St. Pauli also in 50%. Defenses are unreliable (Union Berlin: 2 clean sheets; St. Pauli: 2 clean sheets). St. Pauli's attack (Danel Sinani, 3 goals) can worry a home defense that often concedes. Union Berlin, at home, should also find the back of the net.
1.97
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Union Berlin vs St. Pauli
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Union Berlin vs St. Pauli Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 2 6 | 3 2 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 50% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 0% | 33% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 38% | 43% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 29% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 29% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 20% |
2nd half | 50% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrej Ilic | 30% (3/10) | 30% (3/10) | Abdoulie Ceesay |
| Oliver Burke | 20% (2/10) | 17% (1/6) | Mathias Pereira Lage |
| Woo-Yeong Jeong | 29% (2/7) | 10% (1/10) | Danel Sinani |
| Derrick Koehn | 11% (1/9) | 17% (1/6) | Karol Mets |
| Danilho Doekhi | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Josip Juranovic | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Andras Schafer | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Tom Rothe | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Leopold Querfeld | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Livan Burcu | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrej Ilic | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Abdoulie Ceesay |
| Oliver Burke | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Danel Sinani |
| Woo-Yeong Jeong | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Mathias Pereira Lage |
| Derrick Koehn | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Karol Mets |
| Livan Burcu | ⚽1 | ||
| Leopold Querfeld | ⚽1 | ||
| Tom Rothe | ⚽1 | ||
| Danilho Doekhi | ⚽1 | ||
| Josip Juranovic | ⚽1 | ||
| Andras Schafer | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 80% |
1.5 | 60% | 60% |
2.5 | 30% | 10% |
3.5 | 30% | 0% |
4.5 | 20% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Union Berlin
3-4-1-2CoachSteffen Baumgart
Starting XI
Substitutes
St. Pauli
3-4-2-1CoachAlexander Blessin
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Bayern Munich | 82%(28/34) |
| 2 |  | Borussia Dortmund | 65%(22/34) |
| 3 |  | RB Leipzig | 59%(20/34) |
| 4 |  | Bayer Leverkusen | 53%(18/34) |
| 5 |  | VfB Stuttgart | 53%(18/34) |
| 6 |  | Hoffenheim | 53%(18/34) |
| 7 |  | Freiburg | 38%(13/34) |
| 8 |  | Augsburg | 35%(12/34) |
| 9 |  | Eintracht Frankfurt | 32%(11/34) |
| 10 | | Union Berlin | 29%(10/34) |
| 11 |  | Mainz 05 | 29%(10/34) |
| 12 |  | Hamburger SV | 26%(9/34) |
| 13 |  | Borussia Moenchengladbach | 26%(9/34) |
| 14 |  | Werder Bremen | 24%(8/34) |
| 15 |  | Wolfsburg | 21%(7/34) |
| 16 |  | FC Koeln | 21%(7/34) |
| 17 |  | FC Heidenheim | 18%(6/34) |
| 18 | | St. Pauli | 18%(6/34) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Bundesliga
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Bundesliga. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Bundesliga est l'une des compétitions majeures de Germany. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
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- Paris combinés
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- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Bundesliga, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
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- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
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