Sevilla - Atletico Madrid: our prediction
11/04/2026•21:00
Sevilla
2:1
(2:1)
Finished
Atletico Madrid
-
1
-
X
-
2
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Preview — LaLiga
Sevilla hosts Atlético Madrid in a Liga match. Bookmakers favor Sevilla (odds 2.58) despite recent poor form (2 wins in 10 matches). Atlético, more effective away (1 win in last 5 away matches), displays a more prolific attack. Recent statistics show a strong both teams to score trend for Sevilla (70%) and a marked over 2.5 goals trend for Atlético (70%).
Our Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid predictions
Over 0.5 goals per team (Atlético Madrid)
Atlético Madrid has scored at least one goal in 90% of its last 10 matches (9/10). Facing a Sevilla defense that kept only one clean sheet in the same period, and with in-form scorers like Julian Alvarez (4 goals in 10 matches) and Alexander Soerloth (3 goals), the probability of Atlético finding the net is extremely high. Their 90% rate of matches with at least 0.5 goals is one of the most reliable in the dataset.
1.33
Confidence
Very high
Over 2.5 goals per match
Atlético Madrid shows a strong over 2.5 goals trend with 70% success in its last 10 matches (7/10). Sevilla, although less prolific (40% over 2.5), has a fragile defense (only 1 clean sheet in 10 matches). The combination of Atlético's effective attack (Julian Alvarez and Alexander Soerloth regular scorers) and the defensive weaknesses of both teams should produce a match with at least 3 goals.
1.83
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
In the last 10 matches, Sevilla has seen both teams score in 70% of cases (7/10). Atlético Madrid has a less solid defense away (3 clean sheets in 10 matches) and Sevilla scores regularly at home (8/10 matches with at least 0.5 goals). Atlético's offensive form (6 wins in 10 matches) suggests they will also find the net.
1.67
Confidence
High
Market signals on Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 4 4 | 6 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 67% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 17% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 17% | 100% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 20% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 20% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 20% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 60% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 40% |
2nd half | 20% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Akor Adams | 30% (3/10) | 38% (3/8) | Ademola Lookman |
| Nemanja Gudelj | 10% (1/10) | 25% (2/8) | Alexander Soerloth |
| Andres Castrin | 11% (1/9) | 50% (2/4) | Julian Alvarez |
| Oso | 10% (1/10) | 50% (2/4) | Nico Gonzalez |
| Alexis Sanchez | 10% (1/10) | 17% (1/6) | Miguel Llorente |
| Kike Salas | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Alejandro Baena |
| Neal Maupay | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Marc Pubill |
10% (1/10) | Antoine Griezmann | ||
17% (1/6) | Iker Luque | ||
13% (1/8) | Thiago Almada |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Akor Adams | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Alexander Soerloth |
| Alexis Sanchez | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Nico Gonzalez |
| Kike Salas | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Ademola Lookman |
| Nemanja Gudelj | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Julian Alvarez |
| Andres Castrin | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Alejandro Baena |
| Oso | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Antoine Griezmann |
| Neal Maupay | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Iker Luque |
⚽1 | Marc Pubill | ||
⚽1 | Thiago Almada | ||
⚽1 | Miguel Llorente |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 90% |
1.5 | 70% | 60% |
2.5 | 40% | 50% |
3.5 | 10% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
Lineups
Sevilla
4-3-2-1CoachLuis Garcia
Starting XI
Substitutes
Atletico Madrid
4-2-3-1CoachNelson Vivas
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Barcelona | 82%(31/38) |
| 2 |  | Real Madrid | 71%(27/38) |
| 3 |  | Villarreal | 58%(22/38) |
| 4 | | Atletico Madrid | 55%(21/38) |
| 5 |  | Real Betis | 39%(15/38) |
| 6 |  | Getafe | 39%(15/38) |
| 7 |  | Celta Vigo | 37%(14/38) |
| 8 |  | Valencia | 34%(13/38) |
| 9 |  | Athletic Bilbao | 34%(13/38) |
| 10 | | Sevilla | 32%(12/38) |
| 11 |  | Espanyol | 32%(12/38) |
| 12 |  | Rayo Vallecano | 32%(12/38) |
| 13 |  | Deportivo Alaves | 29%(11/38) |
| 14 |  | Real Sociedad | 29%(11/38) |
| 15 |  | Levante | 29%(11/38) |
| 16 |  | Osasuna | 29%(11/38) |
| 17 |  | Mallorca | 29%(11/38) |
| 18 |  | Elche | 26%(10/38) |
| 19 |  | Girona | 24%(9/38) |
| 20 |  | Real Oviedo | 16%(6/38) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - LaLiga
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Présentation de la compétition
LaLiga est l'une des compétitions majeures de Spain. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
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Facteurs clés à considérer
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- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
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- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
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