Mafra - Santarem: our prediction
03/04/2026•12:00
Mafra
2:1
(1:0)
Finished
Santarem
-
1
-
X
-
2
Mafra vs Santarem Preview — Liga 3 Promotion Group
Mafra hosts Santarem in the Liga 3 Promotion Group. Bookmakers have Mafra as the favorite (odds at 1.86). Over their last 10 matches, Mafra has mixed form (2W, 3D, 5L) while Santarem is slightly more performant (3W, 2D, 5L). Statistics suggest a tight match with a low number of goals.
Our Mafra vs Santarem predictions
Mafra scores under 1.5 goals
The indicator is very clear: in its last 10 matches, Mafra scored under 1.5 goals in 90% of cases (9/10). Its attack is ineffective with only 7 goals scored in this period (average of 0.7 goals/match). Even at home and as a favorite, its recent history does not show an ability to score more than one goal. No information on a key striker injury contradicts this trend.
1.2
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Statistics from the last 10 matches show that Mafra had under 2.5 goals in 60% of its matches (6/10) and Santarem in 50% (5/10). Both teams have unprolific attacks (Mafra: 2 wins/10, Santarem: 3 wins/10) and defenses that often concede (Mafra: 8 matches without a clean sheet, Santarem: 9). The probability of a low-scoring match is high.
1.65
Confidence
High
Draw
Mafra drew in 30% of its last 10 matches (3/10), Santarem in 20% (2/10). Both teams struggle to win (Mafra: 20% wins, Santarem: 30%). The favorite Mafra only won one victory as a favorite in its last 6 matches in this status. Santarem, away, can aim for a draw. The lack of information on major injuries suggests the teams are at full strength, reinforcing the idea of a balanced match.
3.2
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Mafra vs Santarem
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Mafra vs Santarem Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 3 5 | 3 2 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 20% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 17% | 0% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 63% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 38% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 38% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 60% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 100% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 20% |
2nd half | 30% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Stanley Iheanacho | 60% (6/10) | 10% (1/10) | Joao Ricardo |
| Mamor Niang | 20% (2/10) | 11% (1/9) | Tiago Madeira |
| Lenio Neves | 25% (2/8) | 10% (1/10) | Goncalo Teixeira |
| Ruben Pinto | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Eric Ayiah |
| Andrey | 14% (1/7) | 13% (1/8) | Bura |
| Rodrigo | 100% (1/1) | 10% (1/10) | Sidy Koume |
17% (1/6) | Rodrigo Teixeira |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Stanley Iheanacho | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7 | ⚽1 | Bura |
| Mamor Niang | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Sidy Koume |
| Lenio Neves | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Rodrigo Teixeira |
| Ruben Pinto | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Goncalo Teixeira |
| Andrey | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Eric Ayiah |
| Rodrigo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Joao Ricardo |
⚽1 | Tiago Madeira |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 40% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 80% |
1.5 | 90% | 50% |
2.5 | 40% | 20% |
3.5 | 20% | 20% |
4.5 | 10% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Mafra
Starting XI
Substitutes
Santarem
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | CF Os Belenenses | 59%(19/32) |
| 2 |  | Amarante FC | 53%(17/32) |
| 3 |  | Academica | 47%(15/32) |
| 4 | | Mafra | 44%(14/32) |
| 5 |  | Vitoria de Guimaraes B | 38%(12/32) |
| 6 |  | Atletico | 43%(12/28) |
| 7 |  | Lusitano de Evora | 39%(11/28) |
| 8 |  | Varzim | 34%(11/32) |
| 9 |  | AD Fafe | 36%(10/28) |
| 10 |  | Caldas | 36%(10/28) |
| 11 |  | Trofense | 28%(9/32) |
| 12 |  | Paredes | 32%(9/28) |
| 13 |  | Santarem | 25%(8/32) |
| 14 |  | Braga B | 29%(8/28) |
| 15 |  | Sporting Covilha | 25%(7/28) |
| 16 |  | Amora FC | 25%(7/28) |
| 17 |  | SC Joao Ver | 25%(7/28) |
| 18 | | AD Marco 09 | 25%(7/28) |
| 19 |  | S.U. 1 de Dezembro | 25%(7/28) |
| 20 |  | Sanjoanense | 14%(4/28) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Liga 3 Promotion Group
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Liga 3 Promotion Group. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Liga 3 Promotion Group est l'une des compétitions majeures de Portugal. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Liga 3 Promotion Group, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :
- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
- Alertes de paris personnalisées
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