Mafra - Amarante FC: our prediction
19/04/2026•16:00
Mafra
1:4
(0:1)
Finished
Amarante FC
-
1
-
X
-
2
Mafra vs Amarante FC Preview — Liga 3 Promotion Group
Mafra, the bookmakers' favorite (odds 2.05), hosts Amarante FC in the Liga 3 Promotion Group. Over their last 10 matches, Mafra has mixed form (4W, 1D, 5L) while Amarante FC is more solid (6W, 3D, 1L). Statistics suggest a tight match with a high probability of both teams scoring.
Our Mafra vs Amarante FC predictions
Both teams to score
Over the last 10 matches, both teams have scored in 60% of Mafra's games (6/10) and in 70% of Amarante FC's games (7/10). Defenses are not solid (Mafra: 2 clean sheets; Amarante: 3 clean sheets). Attacks are active with regular scorers like Iheanacho (Mafra) and Tiago Ventura Silva (Amarante). No information on major absences was found to contradict this scenario.
2.05
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 goals (per match)
Statistics from the last 10 matches show a trend towards low-scoring games. For Mafra, 50% of matches (5/10) ended with under 2.5 goals. For Amarante FC, this rate is 60% (6/10). Furthermore, the 'parou15' indicators (over 1.5 goals per team) are only validated in 30% of cases for each team, and 'parou25' (over 2.5 goals per team) at 0%. This suggests a match where teams will struggle to score more than one goal each.
1.45
Confidence
Medium
Draw
Mafra has drawn in only 10% of its last 10 matches (1/10), while Amarante FC has drawn in 30% of cases (3/10). Although Mafra is favored at home, its recent form is irregular (4W, 5L). Amarante FC, more solid away (3W in 10 away matches), could hold on. The odds for a draw (2.95) offer value. Analysis of performance indicators ('undeux': Mafra 90%, Amarante 70%) shows that both teams often score or don't score, which can favor a balanced scenario. No information on key absences was found.
3.16
Confidence
Low
Market signals on Mafra vs Amarante FC
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Mafra vs Amarante FC Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 1 5 | 6 3 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 40% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 25% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 40% | 100% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 60% | 86% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 40% | 43% |
Win by being an outsider | 40% | 43% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 70% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 30% |
2nd half | 40% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Stanley Iheanacho | 60% (6/10) | 40% (4/10) | Tiago Ventura Silva |
| Mamor Niang | 20% (2/10) | 30% (3/10) | Arome |
| Lenio Neves | 25% (2/8) | 30% (3/10) | Daniel Rodrigues |
| Andrey | 14% (1/7) | 33% (3/9) | Jordan Saint-Louis |
| Ruben Pinto | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Joao Filipe |
| Rodrigo | 100% (1/1) | 10% (1/10) | Abdoul Zangre |
10% (1/10) | Rui Pedro |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Stanley Iheanacho | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Tiago Ventura Silva |
| Mamor Niang | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Daniel Rodrigues |
| Lenio Neves | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Jordan Saint-Louis |
| Rodrigo | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Arome |
| Ruben Pinto | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Joao Filipe |
| Andrey | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Rui Pedro |
⚽1 | Abdoul Zangre |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 40% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 60% |
1.5 | 90% | 30% |
2.5 | 30% | 30% |
3.5 | 20% | 20% |
4.5 | 10% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Mafra
Starting XI
Substitutes
Amarante FC
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | CF Os Belenenses | 59%(19/32) |
| 2 | | Amarante FC | 53%(17/32) |
| 3 |  | Academica | 47%(15/32) |
| 4 | | Mafra | 44%(14/32) |
| 5 |  | Vitoria de Guimaraes B | 38%(12/32) |
| 6 |  | Atletico | 43%(12/28) |
| 7 |  | Lusitano de Evora | 39%(11/28) |
| 8 |  | Varzim | 34%(11/32) |
| 9 |  | AD Fafe | 36%(10/28) |
| 10 |  | Caldas | 36%(10/28) |
| 11 |  | Trofense | 28%(9/32) |
| 12 |  | Paredes | 32%(9/28) |
| 13 |  | Santarem | 25%(8/32) |
| 14 |  | Braga B | 29%(8/28) |
| 15 |  | Sporting Covilha | 25%(7/28) |
| 16 |  | Amora FC | 25%(7/28) |
| 17 |  | SC Joao Ver | 25%(7/28) |
| 18 |  | S.U. 1 de Dezembro | 25%(7/28) |
| 19 | | AD Marco 09 | 25%(7/28) |
| 20 |  | Sanjoanense | 14%(4/28) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Liga 3 Promotion Group
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Liga 3 Promotion Group. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Liga 3 Promotion Group est l'une des compétitions majeures de Portugal. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Liga 3 Promotion Group, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :
- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
- Alertes de paris personnalisées
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