FBC Melgar - Universitario de Deportes: our prediction
20/04/2026•00:15
FBC Melgar
2:1
(2:1)
Finished
Universitario de Deportes
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1
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X
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2
FBC Melgar vs Universitario de Deportes Preview — Liga 1 Apertura
FBC Melgar hosts Universitario de Deportes in the Liga 1 Apertura. Melgar is a slight favorite with bookmakers (odds 2.38) despite recent mixed form (3 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses in the last 10 matches). Universitario, on the other hand, shows a more solid defense away from home but a less prolific attack on the road. Recent statistics suggest a potentially tight match with goals.
Our FBC Melgar vs Universitario de Deportes predictions
1.5 (More goals per match)
This is the most solid indicator in the JSON. Melgar has validated Over 1.5 goals in 9 of its last 10 matches (90%). Universitario has validated it in 6/10 (60%). The combination of offensive tendencies (Melgar scores in 90% of matches, Universitario in 70%) and defensive weaknesses (Melgar concedes in 80% of matches) makes this bet extremely likely. It is the most reliable statistical base.
1.4
Confidence
Very high
2.5 (Fewer goals per team) - Universitario
Universitario has a measured attack, especially away. In the last 10 matches, they have NEVER scored more than 2 goals (0 validations of 'parou25'). Their attack often relies on Alex Valera (4 goals). Facing Melgar, which despite its defensive weaknesses rarely concedes floods of goals (only 2 validations of 'parou25' out of 10), it is very likely that Universitario scores 2 goals or less. This bet is complementary to 'Both Teams to Score' and 'Over 1.5'.
1.1
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
In the last 10 matches, Melgar has seen both teams score in 80% of cases (8/10), demonstrating a capable attack (9 matches Over 1.5 goals) but a leaky defense (only 2 clean sheets). Universitario, although more solid defensively away (5 clean sheets/10), has scored in 7 of its last 10 matches. Melgar's offensive tendency at home and Universitario's scoring ability support this scenario.
1.92
Confidence
High
Market signals on FBC Melgar vs Universitario de Deportes
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
FBC Melgar vs Universitario de Deportes Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 3 4 | 4 4 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 50% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 20% |
Win by being a favorite | 17% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 75% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 50% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 50% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 80% 20% | 40% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 0% |
2nd half | 40% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 70% 30% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
75% (3/4) | Alex Valera | ||
50% (2/4) | Edison Flores | ||
50% (2/4) | Cain Jair Fara | ||
25% (1/4) | Jose Carabali | ||
25% (1/4) | Miguel Silveira dos Santos | ||
25% (1/4) | Anderson Santamaria | ||
25% (1/4) | Lisandro Alzugaray |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Cuesta | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Alex Valera |
| Jhonny Vidales | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Edison Flores |
| Nicolas Quagliata | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Cain Jair Fara |
| Matias Zegarra | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Jose Carabali |
| Jesus Alcantar | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Miguel Silveira dos Santos |
| Brian Guzman | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Lisandro Alzugaray |
| Javier Salas | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Anderson Santamaria |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 83% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 67% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 67% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 33% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 17% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 17% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 17% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 0% | 10% |
1.5 | 0% | 10% |
2.5 | 0% | 0% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Alianza Lima | 71%(12/17) |
| 2 |  | Cienciano | 59%(10/17) |
| 3 |  | Los Chankas | 59%(10/17) |
| 4 | | Universitario de Deportes | 47%(8/17) |
| 5 |  | Cusco FC | 47%(8/17) |
| 6 | | FBC Melgar | 47%(8/17) |
| 7 |  | Deportivo Garcilaso | 41%(7/17) |
| 8 |  | Asociacion Deportiva Tarma | 29%(5/17) |
| 9 |  | Club Deportivo Moquegua | 29%(5/17) |
| 10 |  | Comerciantes Unidos | 29%(5/17) |
| 11 |  | Alianza Atletico | 29%(5/17) |
| 12 |  | Sporting Cristal | 29%(5/17) |
| 13 |  | Sport Boys | 29%(5/17) |
| 14 |  | CD UT Cajamarca | 24%(4/17) |
| 15 |  | Sport Huancayo | 24%(4/17) |
| 16 |  | FC Cajamarca | 24%(4/17) |
| 17 | | ADC Juan Pablo II | 24%(4/17) |
| 18 |  | Atletico Grau | 24%(4/17) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Liga 1 Apertura
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Liga 1 Apertura. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Liga 1 Apertura est l'une des compétitions majeures de Peru. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Liga 1 Apertura, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :
- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
- Alertes de paris personnalisées
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