Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal: our prediction
10/05/2026•03:00
Alianza Lima
1:1
(0:0)
Finished
Sporting Cristal
-
1
-
X
-
2
Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal Preview — Liga 1 Apertura
Alianza Lima, heavy favorite with odds of 1.67, hosts Sporting Cristal. The hosts are in great form with 8 wins in their last 10 matches, while the visitors struggle away from home, failing to win any of their last 10 away games. Statistics show a trend towards under 2.5 goals for Alianza (70%) and over 2.5 goals for Sporting Cristal (60%). Both teams rarely score together in Alianza Lima's matches.
Our Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal predictions
Alianza Lima to Win
Alianza Lima is in excellent form with 8 wins in their last 10 matches, while Sporting Cristal has failed to win any of their last 10 away matches. Alianza is the favorite and plays at home, which strengthens their position. The odds of 1.67 reflect this dominance. The win-as-favorite statistics (winfav) show an 88.9% success rate for Alianza, confirming their ability to win when expected.
1.64
Confidence
Very high
Under 1.5 goals for Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal has scored under 1.5 goals in 60% of their last 10 matches (underparou15 indicator at 6/10). Additionally, Alianza Lima has kept a clean sheet in 60% of their last 10 matches. Combined with Sporting Cristal's poor away form (no wins), it is very likely they will not score more than one goal. The odds of 1.45 are very attractive.
1.45
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Alianza Lima has seen under 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 10 matches (under25 indicator at 7/10). Sporting Cristal, although more prolific, has an under25 indicator at 4/10. Combined with Alianza's defensive solidity (6 clean sheets in 10) and Sporting Cristal's offensive weakness away from home, a low-scoring match is very likely. The odds of 1.85 are attractive.
1.78
Confidence
High
Market signals on Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 8 1 1 | 3 1 6 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 57% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 67% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 89% | 43% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 60% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 40% |
2nd half | 50% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
100% (4/4) | Gustavo Cazonatti | ||
75% (3/4) | Yoshimar Yotun | ||
25% (1/4) | Catriel Cabellos | ||
25% (1/4) | Gabriel | ||
33% (1/3) | Felipe Vizeu | ||
25% (1/4) | Maxloren Castro | ||
50% (1/2) | Santiago Gonzalez |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Eryc Castillo | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽9 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Gustavo Cazonatti |
| Jairo Velez | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Yoshimar Yotun |
| Fernando Gaibor | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Felipe Vizeu |
| Federico Girotti | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Maxloren Castro |
| Jose Paolo Guerrero | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Catriel Cabellos |
| Marco Huaman | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Gabriel |
| Renzo Garces | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Santiago Gonzalez |
| Alan Cantero | ⚽1 | ||
| Esteban Pavez | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 75% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 75% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 63% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 38% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 38% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 25% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 0% | 40% |
1.5 | 0% | 40% |
2.5 | 0% | 20% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | | Alianza Lima | 71%(12/17) |
| 2 |  | Cienciano | 59%(10/17) |
| 3 |  | Los Chankas | 59%(10/17) |
| 4 |  | Universitario de Deportes | 47%(8/17) |
| 5 |  | Cusco FC | 47%(8/17) |
| 6 |  | FBC Melgar | 47%(8/17) |
| 7 |  | Deportivo Garcilaso | 41%(7/17) |
| 8 |  | Asociacion Deportiva Tarma | 29%(5/17) |
| 9 |  | Club Deportivo Moquegua | 29%(5/17) |
| 10 |  | Comerciantes Unidos | 29%(5/17) |
| 11 |  | Alianza Atletico | 29%(5/17) |
| 12 | | Sporting Cristal | 29%(5/17) |
| 13 |  | Sport Boys | 29%(5/17) |
| 14 |  | CD UT Cajamarca | 24%(4/17) |
| 15 |  | Sport Huancayo | 24%(4/17) |
| 16 |  | FC Cajamarca | 24%(4/17) |
| 17 | | ADC Juan Pablo II | 24%(4/17) |
| 18 |  | Atletico Grau | 24%(4/17) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Liga 1 Apertura
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Liga 1 Apertura. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Liga 1 Apertura est l'une des compétitions majeures de Peru. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Liga 1 Apertura, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :
- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
- Alertes de paris personnalisées
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