Nacional - Danubio: our prediction
26/04/2026•00:00
Nacional
1:2
(0:0)
Finished
Danubio
-
1
-
X
-
2
Nacional vs Danubio Preview — Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura
Nacional, the home favorite, faces Danubio in the Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura. Nacional has won 5 of its last 10 matches, while Danubio has won only one. Both teams score in 70% of Nacional and Danubio's matches. Nacional tends to score over 2.5 goals (70% of its matches), while Danubio is more inconsistent offensively.
Our Nacional vs Danubio predictions
Over 2.5 Goals
Nacional has seen over 2.5 goals in 70% of its matches. Combined with the trend of both teams scoring (70% for both), the scenario of a match with at least 3 goals is very likely. Danubio also tends to concede goals, increasing the probability of a high total goal count. Nacional's offensive power, led by Gomez, should ensure goals.
1.96
Confidence
High (65 %)
Both Teams to Score
Both teams score in 70% of Nacional and Danubio's matches. Nacional has kept a clean sheet only 2 times in 10 matches, while Danubio has only done it once. Danubio has players capable of scoring like Enzo Cabrera (4 goals). The trend is clearly for both teams to find the back of the net.
1.85
Confidence
High (65 %)
Nacional Victory
Nacional is the logical favorite with odds of 1.71. It has won 5 of its last 10 matches (50% win rate) and does not lose when favored (5 wins in 8 matches as favorite). Danubio, on the other hand, has won only one of its last 10 matches and lost 3 times. Nacional's current form and squad quality, with goalscorers like Maximiliano Gomez (6 goals), are in its favor. Playing at home strengthens its position.
1.73
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Nacional vs Danubio
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Nacional vs Danubio Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 1 4 | 1 6 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 63% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 75% | 13% |
Win by being a favorite | 63% | 13% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 70% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 10% |
2nd half | 30% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Gomez | 100% (4/4) | ||
| Agustin Rogel | 50% (2/4) | ||
| Maximiliano Silvera | 67% (2/3) | ||
| Juan Cruz De Los Santos | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Camilo Candido | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Pavel Nunez | 25% (1/4) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Gomez | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | ⚽⚽2 | Enzo Cabrera |
| Agustin Rogel | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Joaquin Pereyra |
| Maximiliano Silvera | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Sebastian Rodriguez |
| Pavel Nunez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Mateo Peralta |
| Juan Cruz De Los Santos | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Sebastian Fernandez |
| Camilo Candido | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Maicol Ferreira |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 86% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 86% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 71% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 57% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 57% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 43% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 29% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 20% | 0% |
1.5 | 20% | 0% |
2.5 | 10% | 0% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Deportivo Maldonado | 61%(11/18) |
| 2 |  | Racing | 56%(10/18) |
| 3 |  | Club Atletico Penarol | 56%(10/18) |
| 4 | | Nacional | 50%(9/18) |
| 5 |  | Central Espanol | 50%(9/18) |
| 6 |  | Albion | 44%(8/18) |
| 7 |  | Montevideo City Torque | 44%(8/18) |
| 8 |  | Cerro Largo | 39%(7/18) |
| 9 |  | Montevideo Wanderers | 37%(7/19) |
| 10 |  | Liverpool FC | 33%(6/18) |
| 11 |  | Boston River | 33%(6/18) |
| 12 |  | Defensor Sporting | 28%(5/18) |
| 13 |  | Juventud de las Piedras | 28%(5/18) |
| 14 | | Danubio | 24%(4/17) |
| 15 |  | Cerro | 17%(3/18) |
| 16 |  | Club Atletico Progreso | 17%(3/18) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura est l'une des compétitions majeures de Uruguay. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
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