Rugby

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Varvara Lepchenko - Erika Andreeva: our prediction

05/05/2025•13:00

#21

Varvara Lepchenko

2:0

6•2

6•3

Finished

#71

Erika Andreeva

Varvara Lepchenko vs Erika Andreeva Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification

Qualifying match between the experienced Varvara Lepchenko and the young Erika Andreeva. Lepchenko shows more solid form in her last 10 matches (5 wins) and better efficiency as an outsider. Andreeva, although promising, struggles to confirm her favorite status and is accumulating defeats. A tight two-set match is likely.

Our Varvara Lepchenko vs Erika Andreeva predictions

Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)

Both players' statistics indicate a high probability of a two-set match. In the last 10 non-Major matches, both have finished 70% of their matches in two sets. Andreeva often loses clearly (70% defeats), and Lepchenko, when an outsider, wins 80% of her matches in two sets. A long three-set match is unlikely.

1.51

Confidence

Very high

Under 22.5 Total Games in the Match

The high probability of a two-set match. Andreeva tends to lose her matches clearly (70% defeats). Lepchenko, as an outsider, often wins 2-0 (80%). These factors suggest potentially one-sided sets, limiting the total number of games. A scenario with sets like 6-3, 6-4 (21 games) is plausible.

1.62

Confidence

High

Varvara Lepchenko to Win

Lepchenko shows more solid form (5W/5L) than Andreeva (3W/7L) in the last 10 matches. Her statistics as an outsider (40% wins) are much better than Andreeva's (10%). Andreeva struggles to manage her favorite status (only 40% wins). Lepchenko's experience on clay could be decisive.

1.92

Confidence

High

Market signals on Varvara Lepchenko vs Erika Andreeva

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Varvara Lepchenko vs Erika Andreeva Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Varvara Lepchenko	Erika Andreeva
Win \| Lose	5 5	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	37%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	40%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	16%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	10%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	66%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	100%