Rugby

Tennis

Thanasi Kokkinakis - Sebastian Korda: our prediction

12/01/2026•11:30

#68

Thanasi Kokkinakis

2:1

3•6

6•3

7•6

Finished

#20

Sebastian Korda

Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Korda Preview — Adelaide International

Sebastian Korda, the clear favorite (odds 1.33), faces Thanasi Kokkinakis (odds 3.26) in the first round of the Adelaide International. Korda, higher-ranked and more consistent, is expected to win, but statistics show Kokkinakis is a combative underdog who often wins a set.

Our Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Korda predictions

Sebastian Korda to Win

Korda is the logical favorite (odds 1.33). He has a 70% win rate in his last 10 matches and a 70% win rate as a favorite. His ranking and consistency are superior to Kokkinakis. No known injury alert contradicts this status.

1.32

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets (Match in 3 Sets)

Statistics support a tight match. Kokkinakis wins at least 1 set in 90% of his matches as an underdog. Korda loses 1 set in 70% of his matches as a favorite. Their respective percentages of 3-set matches (outside Grand Slams) are 40% each, reinforcing this probability.

2.45

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

A match in 3 sets (previous prediction) increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 games. Furthermore, the offensive playing styles of both players can lead to tight sets with few breaks, increasing the total number of games. However, a clear win in 2 tight sets (e.g., 7-6, 7-6 = 24 games) is also plausible.

1.91

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Korda

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Korda Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Thanasi Kokkinakis	Sebastian Korda
Win \| Lose	8 2	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	80%	40%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	50%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	80%	40%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	90%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	71%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	40%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	90%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	83%