Rugby

Tennis

Mai Hontama - Maria Timofeeva: our prediction

13/01/2026•06:00

#122

Mai Hontama

2:1

1•6

6•4

7•5

Finished

#105

Maria Timofeeva

Mai Hontama vs Maria Timofeeva Preview — Australian Open, Qualification WTA

Maria Timofeeva, the clear favorite (odds 1.36), faces Mai Hontama (odds 3.00) in the first round of Australian Open qualifying. Timofeeva shows more solid form (40% wins in last 10 matches vs 20% for Hontama) and better efficiency as a favorite. Hontama, often the underdog, shows an ability to win a set (70% of the time). No known injury alerts. A two-set victory for Timofeeva is the most likely scenario.

Our Mai Hontama vs Maria Timofeeva predictions

Maria Timofeeva to Win

Timofeeva is the logical favorite (odds 1.36). Her recent stats are superior (40% wins vs 20% for Hontama). As a favorite, she wins 60% of the time (vs 50% for Hontama). Her Grand Slam performance (14.3% of matches in 3 sets) suggests a tendency to finish quickly. No injuries reported. Good value given her status and form.

1.37

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets

Both players' Grand Slam statistics indicate a high probability of a two-set match. Timofeeva has played only 14.3% of her Grand Slam matches in 3 sets, Hontama 40%. As a favorite, Timofeeva wins 80% of her non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. Hontama, as an underdog, loses 50% of her matches in 2 sets. The dynamics favor a quick conclusion.

1.44

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games

This bet is consistent with the prediction of a two-set match. A typical score of 6-3, 6-4 represents 19 games. Timofeeva's stats as a favorite (80% wins in 2 sets outside Grand Slams) and Hontama's tendency to lose in two sets (50% of the time as an underdog) support this scenario. However, Hontama can win games (70% chance to win a set as an underdog), so the margin is tight.

1.5

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Mai Hontama vs Maria Timofeeva

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Mai Hontama vs Maria Timofeeva Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Mai Hontama	Maria Timofeeva
Win \| Lose	2 8	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	14%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	33%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	75%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	25%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	83%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	100%