Rugby

Tennis

Himeno Sakatsume - Mai Hontama: our prediction

14/01/2026•07:55

#109

Himeno Sakatsume

2:0

6•4

6•2

Finished

#122

Mai Hontama

Himeno Sakatsume vs Mai Hontama Preview — Australian Open, Qualification WTA

Himeno Sakatsume, the favorite with odds of 1.30, faces Mai Hontama (odds 3.27) in the Australian Open qualifiers. Sakatsume shows solid form (70% wins in last 10 matches) and high efficiency as a favorite (80% wins). Hontama, less consistent (30% wins), demonstrates an ability to win sets as an underdog. No known injury alerts. The match could be tighter than the odds suggest.

Our Himeno Sakatsume vs Mai Hontama predictions

Himeno Sakatsume to Win

Sakatsume is clearly the favorite (odds 1.30). Her statistics are superior: 70% wins in last 10 matches vs 30% for Hontama. As a favorite, she wins 80% of her matches. Her recent form and favorite status make her the likely winner.

1.28

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)

Sakatsume's matches often end in 2 sets (70% outside Majors). As a favorite, this rate rises to 70%. Hontama, as an underdog, loses 40% of her matches in 2 sets. The probability of a 2-set match is high, supporting the 'Under 2.5' bet.

1.42

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

Although a 2-set match is likely, Hontama has a high ability to win a set as an underdog (80%). If she wins a set, the total games will easily exceed 22.5. Even in tight 2-set matches (e.g., 7-5, 6-4), the total reaches 22 games, close to the limit. The risk of a one-sided match exists, but the potential for competitive sets is present.

2.3

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Himeno Sakatsume vs Mai Hontama

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Himeno Sakatsume vs Mai Hontama Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Himeno Sakatsume	Mai Hontama
Win \| Lose	7 3	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	50%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	14%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	66%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	57%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	66%