Himeno Sakatsume - Alycia Parks: our prediction
05/03/2026•00:25

#109

Himeno Sakatsume
2:0
6•4
6•3
Finished

#36

Alycia Parks
-
1
-
X
-
2
Himeno Sakatsume vs Alycia Parks Preview — BNP Paribas Open
First-round match at the BNP Paribas Open between Himeno Sakatsume and Alycia Parks. Parks is the favorite according to the odds (1.78 vs. 2.00). Recent statistics show Sakatsume performs well as a favorite, while Parks is solid as an outsider. No injuries reported. The match could be tight, with a tendency towards a three-set match.
Our Himeno Sakatsume vs Alycia Parks predictions
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Statistics indicate a high probability of a three-set match. Sakatsume, as an outsider, wins at least one set in 50% of cases. Parks, as the favorite, loses at least one set in 50% of cases. Their respective percentages of three-set matches (40% for Sakatsume, 60% for Parks) reinforce this trend.
2.38
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
The prediction of a three-set match (over 2.5 sets) significantly increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 total games. Even a tight two-set match (e.g., 7-6, 7-5) reaches 20 games. A third set, even a short one, would very likely push the total beyond 22.5. The trend towards close matches supports this bet.
2.05
Confidence
Medium
Victory for Alycia Parks
Parks is designated as the favorite by the bookmakers (odds at 1.78). She shows a win rate of 50% in her last 10 matches and solidity as an outsider (50% wins). However, Sakatsume is in good form (60% recent wins) and very strong as a favorite (80%). Parks' victory is therefore not guaranteed.
1.74
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Himeno Sakatsume vs Alycia Parks
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Himeno Sakatsume vs Alycia Parks Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 37% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 33% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 42% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 75% |
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