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Tennis

Sloane Stephens - Olivia Gadecki: our prediction

14/01/2026•01:05

Sloane Stephens

2:1

3•6

6•3

Finished

#78

Olivia Gadecki

Sloane Stephens vs Olivia Gadecki Preview — Australian Open, Qualification WTA

Sloane Stephens, a former Grand Slam champion, faces the promising young player Olivia Gadecki in the Australian Open qualifiers. Stephens, struggling recently (1 win in 10), is the underdog against the more consistent Gadecki (5W/5L). The match could be tight, with a significant probability of 3 sets.

Our Sloane Stephens vs Olivia Gadecki predictions

Olivia Gadecki to Win

Gadecki is the logical favorite (odds 1.44). Her recent form is superior (5W/5L vs 1W/9L for Stephens). Stephens is in major difficulty, with only 10% wins in her last 10 matches. Gadecki has also shown a good ability to win as an underdog (36.4%), boosting her confidence.

1.4

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets (Match in 3 Sets)

Statistics indicate a high probability of a 3-set match. Stephens has a 50% rate of 3-set matches in Grand Slams (all situations) and Gadecki 20%. However, Stephens, as an underdog, has a 50% rate of 3-set matches in Grand Slams. Furthermore, Gadecki often loses a set as a favorite (80%). The combination suggests a contested match.

2.46

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

This bet is consistent with the prediction of a 3-set match. A 3-set match usually exceeds the 22.5 games mark, especially if it's tight. Considering the players' profiles (Stephens capable of winning a set, Gadecki likely to drop one), a high total games count is plausible. Confidence is medium because a match in 2 tight sets (e.g., 7-6, 7-6, 24 games) could also reach it, but a straightforward 2-0 is less likely.

2.18

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Sloane Stephens vs Olivia Gadecki

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Sloane Stephens vs Olivia Gadecki Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Sloane Stephens	Olivia Gadecki
Win \| Lose	1 9	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	14%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	30%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	0%	36%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	66%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	81%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	83%