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Maddison Inglis - Iga Swiatek: our prediction

26/01/2026•09:15

#83

Maddison Inglis

0:2

0•6

3•6

Finished

Iga Swiatek

Maddison Inglis vs Iga Swiatek Preview — Australian Open WTA

Iga Swiatek, world number one and heavy favorite, faces Maddison Inglis, a much lower-ranked outsider. The match takes place at the Australian Open on hard court. Statistics and odds reflect a major imbalance in favor of Swiatek.

Our Maddison Inglis vs Iga Swiatek predictions

Iga Swiatek to Win

Swiatek is the undisputed world number one and a hard court specialist. Her statistics are overwhelming: 80% win rate in her last 10 matches, and a 100% win rate (8/8) when favored with odds between 1.0 and 1.2. Inglis, although in recent form (70% win rate), has no recent experience as an outsider against such low odds (1.01). The gap in level is enormous.

1.01

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 Sets in the Match

This bet is directly linked to a Swiatek victory in 2 sets. Her Grand Slam data as the favorite is unequivocal: 0% of matches in 3 sets or more (0/10). Furthermore, she rarely loses a set as the favorite with very low odds (only 25% of the time, 2/8). Given the expected dominance, a match in 2 sets is the most likely scenario.

1.08

Confidence

Very high

Market signals on Maddison Inglis vs Iga Swiatek

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Maddison Inglis vs Iga Swiatek Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Maddison Inglis	Iga Swiatek
Win \| Lose	7 3	8 2
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	66%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	66%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	62%