Rugby

Tennis

Naomi Osaka - Maddison Inglis: our prediction

24/01/2026•11:00

Naomi Osaka

0:0

Finished

#83

Maddison Inglis

Naomi Osaka vs Maddison Inglis Preview — Australian Open WTA

Naomi Osaka, former world number one and four-time Grand Slam champion, faces Maddison Inglis, an Australian player ranked outside the top 100. Osaka is the overwhelming favorite with odds of 1.09. Recent statistics show Osaka tends to lose a set even when favored, while Inglis has a good ability to win a set as an underdog. No injuries reported.

Our Naomi Osaka vs Maddison Inglis predictions

Naomi Osaka to Win

Osaka is a former world number one with superior experience and power. Her odds of 1.09 reflect her status as the overwhelming favorite. Her win statistics as a favorite (60% in last 10 matches) and her 100% win rate with odds between 1.0 and 1.2 (2/3) confirm her ability to handle this type of match. No injuries reported.

1.1

Confidence

Very high

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

A 3-set match significantly increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 games. Even in a 2-set scenario, if each set is tight (e.g., 7-5, 6-4), the total would be 22 games, very close to the limit. Given Osaka's tendency to lose sets and Inglis's ability to win them, a 3-set match with potentially tight sets makes 'Over 22.5' likely.

3.1

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

Statistics indicate a high probability of a 3-set match. Osaka loses at least one set as a favorite in 80% of her last 10 matches. Inglis, as an underdog, wins at least one set in 60% of her last 10 matches. Furthermore, in Grand Slam tournaments, Osaka has played 50% of her matches in 3 sets, and Inglis 67%. This suggests Inglis can win a set.

3.42

Confidence

High

Market signals on Naomi Osaka vs Maddison Inglis

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Naomi Osaka vs Maddison Inglis Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Naomi Osaka	Maddison Inglis
Win \| Lose	6 4	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	66%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	66%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	66%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	80%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	66%