Rugby

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Pavel Kotov - Max Schoenhaus: our prediction

07/02/2026•13:10

#71

Pavel Kotov

2:0

6•4

6•0

Finished

#250

Max Schoenhaus

Pavel Kotov vs Max Schoenhaus Preview — Koblenz

Pavel Kotov, the clear favorite (odds 1.32), faces Max Schoenhaus (odds 3.25) in Koblenz. Kotov shows superior form (60% wins in last 10 matches) and a strong tendency to finish in 2 sets (80%) outside Majors. Schoenhaus, often the underdog, loses frequently but regularly wins a set (77.8% of matches go to 3 sets outside Majors). A 3-set match is plausible.

Our Pavel Kotov vs Max Schoenhaus predictions

Pavel Kotov to Win

Kotov is the statistical and odds favorite. He has won 60% of his last 10 matches, compared to 33% for Schoenhaus. As a favorite (odds ~1.32), he has a 100% win rate in the odds category 1.0-1.2. His tendency to win in 2 sets (80% outside Majors) reinforces his position as a solid favorite.

1.33

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

The data indicates a high probability of a 3-set match. Schoenhaus, as an underdog, wins at least one set in 85.7% of cases. Kotov, as a favorite, loses at least one set in 60% of cases. Furthermore, 77.8% of Schoenhaus's matches outside Majors go to 3 sets. These trends converge towards a long match.

2.59

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

The prediction of a 3-set match (Over 2.5 sets) makes Over 22.5 games likely. A tight 2-set match (e.g., 7-6, 7-5) reaches 24 games. A 3-set match, even with one-sided sets, often exceeds this threshold. Given Schoenhaus's tendency to push his matches to 3 sets and Kotov's ability to win tight sets, the total games should be high.

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Pavel Kotov vs Max Schoenhaus

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Pavel Kotov vs Max Schoenhaus Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Pavel Kotov	Max Schoenhaus
Win \| Lose	6 4	3 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	25%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	75%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	37%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	62%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	100%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	40%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	14%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	85%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	0%