Rugby

Tennis

Marina Stakusic - Dayana Yastremska: our prediction

23/02/2026•21:10

#120

Marina Stakusic

2:0

6•4

6•3

Finished

#22

Dayana Yastremska

Marina Stakusic vs Dayana Yastremska Preview — Merida Open Akron

Marina Stakusic, the underdog (odds 2.76), faces the favorite Dayana Yastremska (odds 1.41) at the Merida Open Akron. Stakusic shows better recent form (60% win rate in last 10 matches vs 30% for Yastremska). However, Yastremska is more experienced and the logical favorite. Statistics suggest a tight match, with a high probability that Stakusic wins at least one set.

Our Marina Stakusic vs Dayana Yastremska predictions

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Statistics from the last 10 non-Grand Slam matches show Stakusic finishes 90% of her matches in 2 sets, and Yastremska 80%. Furthermore, when Yastremska is the favorite (odds 1.41), she finishes 60% of her matches in 2 sets. The probability of a 2-set match is very high.

1.55

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

Although the most likely scenario is a 2-set match, the high probability of Stakusic winning a set (80% when underdog against an opponent odds 1.21-1.50) suggests potentially tight sets. A 2-set scoreline (e.g., 7-5, 6-4) could easily exceed 22.5 games. Yastremska's tendency to lose a set when favorite (80%) also supports this bet.

2.16

Confidence

Medium

Victory for Dayana Yastremska

Yastremska is designated as the favorite by bookmakers (odds 1.41). Despite less good recent form (30% wins), her experience and favorite status are assets. However, her poor recent performance (70% losses in 10 matches) and tendency to lose a set when favorite (80% of cases) temper confidence.

1.53

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Marina Stakusic vs Dayana Yastremska

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Marina Stakusic vs Dayana Yastremska Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Marina Stakusic	Dayana Yastremska
Win \| Lose	7 3	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	50%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	75%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	40%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	33%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	16%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	80%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	66%