Rugby

Tennis

Jasmine Paolini - Priscilla Hon: our prediction

27/02/2026•01:35

Jasmine Paolini

2:0

6•0

6•2

Finished

#111

Priscilla Hon

Jasmine Paolini vs Priscilla Hon Preview — Merida Open Akron

Jasmine Paolini, the seeded player and clear favorite, faces Priscilla Hon in the first round of the Merida Open. Recent statistics and odds indicate a clear superiority for Paolini, with a high probability of a straight-sets victory.

Our Jasmine Paolini vs Priscilla Hon predictions

Jasmine Paolini to Win

Paolini is the clear favorite (odds 1.18). Her statistics as a favorite are strong (80% wins in her last 10 matches in that role). Hon has a low recent win rate (20%) and a high probability of defeat (80%). No known injury alert contradicts this dynamic.

1.17

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)

Historical data shows Paolini finishes 90% of her matches (outside Majors) in 2 sets. As a favorite, this rate is 60%. Hon, as an outsider, loses 60% of her matches in 2 sets. The probability of a 3-set match (over 2.5) seems low, supporting the scenario of a quick Paolini victory.

1.31

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

This bet is consistent with a straight-sets win for Paolini. If she dominates as expected (e.g., 6-3, 6-4 = 19 games), the total will stay under 22.5. The main risk is Hon winning a set, which could push the total games over 22.5. However, the probability of a two-set match is considered higher.

1.38

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Jasmine Paolini vs Priscilla Hon

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Jasmine Paolini vs Priscilla Hon Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Jasmine Paolini	Priscilla Hon
Win \| Lose	3 7	2 8
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	25%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	20%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	16%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	25%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	25%