Rugby

Tennis

Sonay Kartal - Emma Navarro: our prediction

07/03/2026•22:15

#61

Sonay Kartal

2:1

6•1

3•6

7•6

Finished

Emma Navarro

Sonay Kartal vs Emma Navarro Preview — BNP Paribas Open

First-round match at Indian Wells between Britain's Sonay Kartal and America's Emma Navarro. The odds are perfectly balanced (1.88 each), reflecting a very tight duel. Kartal shows superior recent form (70% wins in the last 10 matches vs. 40% for Navarro). Statistics suggest a match likely decided in two sets.

Our Sonay Kartal vs Emma Navarro predictions

Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)

The statistics are very clear: in standard tournaments (excluding Grand Slams), Kartal finishes 80% of her matches in 2 sets when she is the favorite, and Navarro 70%. Their percentages of matches going to 3 sets are low (20% and 30%). This trend, combined with the lack of data on epic encounters, makes a match in two sets very likely.

1.57

Confidence

Very high

Sonay Kartal to Win

Sonay Kartal displays significantly better recent form with 70% wins in her last 10 matches, compared to only 40% for Emma Navarro. Although the WTA ranking is not provided, this positive momentum, coupled with fair odds, makes her the logical favorite for the match. No injury alerts have been reported.

1.9

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

This bet is consistent with the prediction of a match in two sets. For the total number of games to stay under 22.5, tight sets (e.g., 6-4, 6-4 = 20 games) or sets with a decisive break are usually required. Kartal's recent form suggests she can control the match, but the balanced nature of the odds indicates Navarro can be competitive, which could generate tight games. Confidence is therefore moderate.

1.74

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Sonay Kartal vs Emma Navarro

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Sonay Kartal vs Emma Navarro Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Sonay Kartal	Emma Navarro
Win \| Lose	7 3	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	37%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	33%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	50%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	62%	37%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	80%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	0%