Rugby

Tennis

Corentin Denolly - Zdenek Kolar: our prediction

12/03/2026•09:10

#294

Corentin Denolly

0:2

1•6

2•6

Finished

#110

Zdenek Kolar

Corentin Denolly vs Zdenek Kolar Preview — Kigali 2

Zdenek Kolar, the clear favorite (odds 1.16), faces Corentin Denolly (odds 4.77) in a Challenger tournament in Kigali. Recent statistics show Kolar's superior form, with a higher win rate and a strong tendency to finish his matches in two sets when favored. Denolly, struggling recently, will need to produce a major performance to cause an upset.

Our Corentin Denolly vs Zdenek Kolar predictions

Victory for Zdenek Kolar

Kolar is the undisputed favorite (odds 1.16). His statistics as a favorite are solid: 80% wins in his last 10 matches in this role. He also shows an 80% rate of matches in 2 sets when favored. Denolly, on the other hand, wins only 30% of his recent matches and has lost 70% of his last 10 matches. The gap in level and form is significant.

1.17

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 sets in the match

When favored, Kolar finishes his matches in 2 sets in 80% of cases (8/10). Denolly, as an outsider, loses in 2 sets in 70% of cases (7/10). The probability of a match in two sets (2-0 win for Kolar) is therefore very high. The 'en2set' statistic for Kolar (80%) and 'en2setoutsider' for Denolly (70%) corroborate this analysis.

1.36

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

This bet is consistent with the prediction of a two-set win for Kolar. If the match plays out in two tight sets (e.g., 6-4, 6-4), the total games would be 20. To exceed 22.5 games, at least one very tight set (e.g., 7-5) or a tie-break would be required. Given Kolar's form and Denolly's struggles, a one-sided match with relatively short sets (e.g., 6-3, 6-2, total 17 games) is a plausible scenario.

1.58

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Corentin Denolly vs Zdenek Kolar

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Corentin Denolly vs Zdenek Kolar Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Corentin Denolly	Zdenek Kolar
Win \| Lose	3 7	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	33%
% of match in 4 sets or more	10%	66%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	100%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	100%	50%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	72%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	80%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	75%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	57%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	66%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	85%