Rugby

Tennis

Murphy Cassone - Francesco Maestrelli: our prediction

17/03/2026•01:20

#209

Murphy Cassone

2:0

7•6

6•4

Finished

#17

Francesco Maestrelli

Murphy Cassone vs Francesco Maestrelli Preview — Miami Open, Qualification

Murphy Cassone faces Francesco Maestrelli in the first round of Miami Open qualifying. Cassone, with mixed recent form (4 wins, 6 losses), is up against Maestrelli, who shows better momentum (6W-4L). Statistics indicate Maestrelli is more effective as a favorite and more resilient as an underdog. No injuries reported.

Our Murphy Cassone vs Francesco Maestrelli predictions

Francesco Maestrelli to Win

Maestrelli displays superior form (60% win rate in last 10 matches vs 40% for Cassone). He is more effective as a favorite (80% win rate) and more dangerous as an underdog (50% win rate). His ability to win at least one set as an underdog (50%) is also an asset. Overall statistics and recent momentum favor him.

1.57

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets in the Match

Both players have a strong tendency to finish their non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets (Cassone 90%, Maestrelli 80% in last 10). Even considering their status (favorite/underdog), the percentages remain high for 2-set matches. The probability of a 3-set match is low according to historical data.

1.57

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

With a high probability of a 2-set match (under 2.5 sets), the total number of games has a good chance of staying below the 22.5 threshold. A tight 2-set match (e.g., 7-5, 6-4 = 22 games) or one with a more lopsided set could easily reach or exceed this mark, but the tendency for short matches and Maestrelli's form suggest possible control and potentially less tight sets.

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Murphy Cassone vs Francesco Maestrelli

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Murphy Cassone vs Francesco Maestrelli Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Murphy Cassone	Francesco Maestrelli
Win \| Lose	4 6	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	33%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	33%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	50%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	80%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	80%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	10%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	60%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	60%