Rugby

Tennis

Sebastian Ofner - Murphy Cassone: our prediction

05/03/2026•15:50

#43

Sebastian Ofner

2:0

7•5

6•2

Finished

#209

Murphy Cassone

Sebastian Ofner vs Murphy Cassone Preview — Thionville

Sebastian Ofner, the favorite (odds 1.58), faces young outsider Murphy Cassone (odds 2.25) in Thionville. Ofner shows more solid form (60% wins in last 10 matches) and good performance as a favorite. Cassone, less experienced, has a high loss rate (70%) but can be dangerous. No injuries reported.

Our Sebastian Ofner vs Murphy Cassone predictions

Sebastian Ofner to Win

Ofner is clearly the favorite (odds 1.58) with superior form (60% wins in 10 matches). His statistics as a favorite are solid (70% wins). Cassone has a 70% loss rate and less experience. No injury disrupts the favorite.

1.57

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

Ofner, although the favorite, often loses a set as a favorite (60% of the time). Cassone, as an outsider, wins at least one set in 30% of cases. The historical statistics of both players on 3-set matches (excluding Grand Slams) are high (Ofner 60%, Cassone 30% but as an outsider, he has 20% 3-set matches). A tight 3-set match is likely.

2.26

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

The prediction of a 3-set match increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 games. Even in 2 sets, if the sets are tight (e.g., 7-5, 6-4 = 22 games), the limit can be exceeded. Ofner's tendency to lose sets and Cassone's ability to win one suggest potentially contested sets, favoring a high total number of games.

1.75

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Sebastian Ofner vs Murphy Cassone

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Sebastian Ofner vs Murphy Cassone Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Sebastian Ofner	Murphy Cassone
Win \| Lose	6 4	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	80%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	60%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	83%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	10%	10%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	33%