Rugby

Tennis

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Sebastian Ofner: our prediction

22/04/2026•15:35

#17

Nikoloz Basilashvili

0:2

6•7

Finished

#43

Sebastian Ofner

Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sebastian Ofner Preview — Madrid Open

Nikoloz Basilashvili faces Sebastian Ofner at the Madrid Open. Ofner is the favorite with odds of 1.58 against 2.33 for Basilashvili. Recent statistics show Basilashvili has slightly better form (70% wins in last 10 matches vs. 60% for Ofner). However, Ofner is more effective as a favorite (70% wins) and in two-set matches (80%). No injuries reported. The match could be tight, with a tendency towards a two-set match.

Our Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sebastian Ofner predictions

Sebastian Ofner to Win

Ofner is the favorite (odds 1.58) and performs well in that role (70% wins). He has a high two-set win rate (80%) and faces Basilashvili who struggles as an outsider (40% wins). Ofner's recent form is solid.

1.57

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets

Ofner has an 80% two-set match rate as a favorite, and Basilashvili has a 70% two-set match rate as an outsider. Overall statistics indicate a high probability of a two-set match (under 2.5 sets).

1.56

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games

With a high probability of a two-set match, the total number of games should be limited. Ofner's performances as a favorite suggest potentially one-sided sets, reducing the game count. However, Basilashvili can be competitive, hence medium confidence.

1.99

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sebastian Ofner

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sebastian Ofner Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Nikoloz Basilashvili	Sebastian Ofner
Win \| Lose	7 3	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	70%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	80%	80%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	60%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	50%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	85%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	10%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	100%