Carlos Maria Zarate - Juan Manuel La Serna: our prediction
25/03/2026•20:15

#382

Carlos Maria Zarate
1:2
3•6
7•6
1•6
Finished

#213

Juan Manuel La Serna
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1
-
X
-
2
Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Manuel La Serna Preview — Bucaramanga
Juan Manuel La Serna is the clear favorite (odds 1.39) against Carlos Maria Zarate (odds 2.79). La Serna shows better form (5W/5L vs 3W/7L) and excellent efficiency as a favorite (88.9% win rate). Zarate, often the underdog, frequently manages to win a set (55.6%). A two-set win for La Serna is likely, but Zarate could put up a fight.
Our Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Manuel La Serna predictions
Victory for Juan Manuel La Serna
La Serna is the designated favorite (odds 1.39) with superior recent form (5W/5L vs 3W/7L for Zarate). His statistics as a favorite are impressive: 88.9% win rate (8/9). Zarate struggles to win as an underdog (22.2%). No injury information alters this assessment.
1.4
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets (Match in 2 sets)
Player statistics for non-Grand Slam matches indicate a high probability of a two-set match. Zarate finished 70% of his recent matches in 2 sets, La Serna 60%. As a favorite, La Serna wins in 2 sets 66.7% of the time (6/9). Zarate, as a favorite, has 100% of his matches in 2 sets (4/4). The dynamics favor a quick result.
1.45
Confidence
High
Market signals on Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Manuel La Serna
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Manuel La Serna Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 88% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 75% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 22% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 33% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 55% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 33% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 33% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 44% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
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