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Rio Noguchi - Yasutaka Uchiyama: our prediction

29/03/2026•05:10

#79

Rio Noguchi

2:1

5•7

7•6

6•3

Finished

#30

Yasutaka Uchiyama

Rio Noguchi vs Yasutaka Uchiyama Preview — Yokkaichi

Match between Rio Noguchi and Yasutaka Uchiyama in the Yokkaichi tournament. Uchiyama is the favorite with odds of 1.64, showing superior recent form (80% wins in the last 10 matches). Noguchi, the underdog, demonstrates an ability to win sets in that role. No injury information available. A tight match is expected, with a significant probability of seeing three sets.

Our Rio Noguchi vs Yasutaka Uchiyama predictions

Victory for Yasutaka Uchiyama

Uchiyama is the designated favorite (odds 1.64) and shows excellent recent form with 80% wins in the last 10 matches, compared to 70% for Noguchi. His win statistic as a favorite is 80%. He also has a 100% win rate (5/5) when favored with odds between 1.21 and 1.5, which matches his current odds. No injuries reported.

1.69

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Player statistics indicate a high probability of a three-set match. Outside Majors, both players have 40% of their matches ending in 3 sets. Noguchi, as an underdog, wins at least one set in 60% of cases, and Uchiyama, as a favorite, loses at least one set in 40% of cases. These trends suggest resilience from Noguchi and a prolonged match.

2.3

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

The prediction of a three-set match (over 2.5 sets) increases the likelihood of a high game count. A two-set match with tight sets (e.g., 7-6, 7-5) reaches 22 games, while a three-set match, even with one-sided sets, often exceeds this threshold. Given the probability of three sets and the expected competitiveness, the total games should exceed 22.5.

1.91

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Rio Noguchi vs Yasutaka Uchiyama

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Rio Noguchi vs Yasutaka Uchiyama Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Rio Noguchi	Yasutaka Uchiyama
Win \| Lose	7 3	8 2
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	28%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	71%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	33%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	66%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	90%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	85%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	85%	75%