Rugby

Tennis

Rio Noguchi - Alexis Galarneau: our prediction

21/04/2026•04:05

#79

Rio Noguchi

0:2

4•6

2•6

Finished

#109

Alexis Galarneau

Rio Noguchi vs Alexis Galarneau Preview — Gwangju

Rio Noguchi faces Alexis Galarneau in Gwangju. Noguchi, in better recent form (70% wins in last 10 matches), is the underdog priced at 2.13. Galarneau, the favorite at 1.65, has more mixed form (50% wins). Statistics suggest a tight match, with a high probability of over 22.5 games.

Our Rio Noguchi vs Alexis Galarneau predictions

Over 22.5 games in the match

Both players have solid statistics for winning at least one set as an underdog (Noguchi 70%, Galarneau 60%). Galarneau, although favorite, often loses a set (70% of the time). Noguchi, in good form, should put up a fight. This typically leads to tight sets and a high total game count.

2.04

Confidence

High

Victory for Alexis Galarneau

Galarneau is the bookmakers' designated favorite (odds 1.65). He has a good win rate as a favorite (70% in last 10 matches). However, his recent form is patchy (5 wins, 5 losses) and he often loses a set. Against a confident Noguchi, victory is not assured but remains likely.

1.68

Confidence

Medium

Under 2.5 sets in the match

In the last 10 non-Grand Slam matches, 70% of both players' matches ended in 2 sets. Galarneau, as favorite, finished 50% of his matches in 2 sets. The odds for Galarneau's win (1.65) reflect an expectation of a 2-set victory, but Noguchi's resistance introduces uncertainty.

1.54

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Rio Noguchi vs Alexis Galarneau

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Rio Noguchi vs Alexis Galarneau Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Rio Noguchi	Alexis Galarneau
Win \| Lose	7 3	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	75%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	75%