Rugby

Tennis

Emiliana Arango - Maria Lourdes Carle: our prediction

31/03/2026•21:40

#36

Emiliana Arango

2:1

1•6

6•2

6•0

Finished

#126

Maria Lourdes Carle

Emiliana Arango vs Maria Lourdes Carle Preview — Copa Colsanitas

First-round match of the Copa Colsanitas between local favorite Emiliana Arango (odds 1.49) and Argentina's Maria Lourdes Carle (odds 2.56). Arango is designated as the favorite but shows concerning recent form with 9 losses in her last 10 matches, while Carle presents stronger statistics as a favorite (60% wins) and outsider (20%). Historical data suggests a match likely concluded in two sets.

Our Emiliana Arango vs Maria Lourdes Carle predictions

Under 2.5 sets in the match

The statistics are very clear: excluding Grand Slam tournaments, Arango finishes her matches in 2 sets in 60% of cases (en2setall), Carle in 90% of cases. When they are favorites, their percentages of matches in 2 sets are 70% and 80% respectively. The 'en3setall' data shows only 40% of matches in 3 sets for Arango and 10% for Carle. The probability of a match in two sets is extremely high.

1.48

Confidence

Very high

Under 22.5 games in the match

With a very high probability of a match in two sets (under 2.5 sets), the total number of games should remain contained. Neither player shows a tendency for very tight sets (Carle has 90% of her non-Grand Slam matches finished in 2 sets). Arango's deficient form could lead to relatively short sets if Carle confirms her status as a performing outsider. The combination 'match in two sets' + 'Arango's irregular form' favors a total games under 22.5.

1.58

Confidence

High

Victory for Maria Lourdes Carle

Despite Arango's favorite status (odds 1.49), her recent form is catastrophic: 1 win and 9 losses in her last 10 matches (10% win rate). Carle shows 4 wins in 10 matches (40%) and more stable performances. The 'victoir_fav' statistics show both players have a 60% success rate as favorites, but Arango has a very low overall win rate. Carle also has a 20% win rate as an outsider compared to Arango's 10%. The odds difference seems to overestimate Arango given her current form.

2.62

Confidence

High

Market signals on Emiliana Arango vs Maria Lourdes Carle

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Emiliana Arango vs Maria Lourdes Carle Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Emiliana Arango	Maria Lourdes Carle
Win \| Lose	1 9	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	50%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	10%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	16%	16%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	66%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	25%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	66%