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Sloane Stephens - Renata Zarazua: our prediction

30/03/2026•19:45

Sloane Stephens

0:2

2•6

0•6

Finished

#67

Renata Zarazua

Sloane Stephens vs Renata Zarazua Preview — Credit One Charleston Open

Renata Zarazua, the favorite with odds of 1.63, faces Sloane Stephens (odds 2.21) at the Credit One Charleston Open on clay. Zarazua shows a strong ability to win as a favorite (80% in the last 10 matches), while Stephens performs better as an outsider. Statistics suggest a two-set match, with a high probability of victory for the favorite.

Our Sloane Stephens vs Renata Zarazua predictions

Victory for Renata Zarazua

Zarazua is the clear favorite (odds 1.63). Her statistics as a favorite are solid: 80% wins in the last 10 matches where she was favored. Stephens, on the other hand, wins only 30% of her matches as a favorite and 40% overall in her last 10 matches. On clay, Zarazua's consistency should make the difference.

1.72

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets in the match

The players' statistics in non-Grand Slam tournaments (excluding 5-set matches) indicate a strong trend towards two-set matches. Zarazua finishes 60% of her matches in two sets, Stephens 70%. Furthermore, as a favorite, Zarazua finishes 40% of her matches in two sets, but Stephens, as an outsider, finishes 60% of her matches in two sets. The probability of a three-set match is lower (30-40%).

1.5

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

With a prediction of a two-set match (under 2.5 sets), the total number of games is very likely to stay under 22.5. If Zarazua dominates as expected, a two-set score with potential margins (e.g., 6-3, 6-4 = 19 games) could easily stay under this limit. Stephens' tendency to lose sets as a favorite (70% of the time) suggests she might concede sets with close scores, but the total should remain moderate.

1.6

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Sloane Stephens vs Renata Zarazua

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Sloane Stephens vs Renata Zarazua Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Sloane Stephens	Renata Zarazua
Win \| Lose	4 6	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	30%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	12%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	12%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	50%