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Lia Karatancheva - Varvara Lepchenko: our prediction

31/03/2026•17:40

#174

Lia Karatancheva

1:2

6•3

3•6

2•6

Finished

#21

Varvara Lepchenko

Lia Karatancheva vs Varvara Lepchenko Preview — Copa Colsanitas

First-round match at the Copa Colsanitas between young Lia Karatancheva and experienced Varvara Lepchenko. Lepchenko is the favorite with odds of 1.51, but recent statistics show both players have similar form (3 wins in last 10 matches). Historical data suggests a two-set match.

Our Lia Karatancheva vs Varvara Lepchenko predictions

Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)

The data is very clear: for non-Grand Slam matches, both players finish 80% of their matches in 2 sets (8/10). As the favorite, Lepchenko finishes 90% of her matches in 2 sets. A clean two-set win for Lepchenko is the most likely scenario.

1.48

Confidence

Very high

Varvara Lepchenko to Win

Lepchenko is clearly the favorite (odds 1.51). Her statistics as a favorite are solid: 60% win rate (6/10) and a 2-set win rate of 90% (9/10) when favored in non-Grand Slam tournaments. Her experience against a younger player should make the difference.

1.5

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Total Games in the Match

This bet is consistent with a two-set win for Lepchenko. If she dominates as the statistics suggest (90% 2-set wins as favorite), the match could feature tight but not necessarily very long sets (e.g., 6-4, 6-3 = 19 games). However, Karatancheva has won at least one set in 50% of her matches as an outsider, which introduces uncertainty about the final score.

1.6

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Lia Karatancheva vs Varvara Lepchenko

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Lia Karatancheva vs Varvara Lepchenko Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Lia Karatancheva	Varvara Lepchenko
Win \| Lose	3 7	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	60%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	60%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	60%