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Tennis

McCartney Kessler - Yulia Starodubtseva: our prediction

04/04/2026•00:05

#31

McCartney Kessler

0:2

4•6

Finished

#42

Yulia Starodubtseva

McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Starodubtseva Preview — Credit One Charleston Open

Close match between McCartney Kessler (favorite) and Yulia Starodubtseva. Kessler is slightly favored with odds of 1.69, but Starodubtseva (2.13) shows a strong tendency to win in two sets (80% of her recent matches outside Majors). Recent statistics indicate both players have similar form (60% wins in last 10 matches). No injuries reported. A three-set match is likely.

Our McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Starodubtseva predictions

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Kessler has 60% of her recent non-Major matches going to three sets, and Starodubtseva often wins in two sets. However, Kessler often loses a set as favorite (60%), and Starodubtseva often wins a set as underdog (70%). Statistics suggest a contested match with a likely third set.

2.33

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

With a high probability of three sets (previous analysis), the total games should exceed 22.5. Even in two tight sets (e.g., 7-5, 6-4 = 22 games), the threshold is close. A third set, even a short one, would push the total over 22.5.

2.08

Confidence

Medium

McCartney Kessler to win

Kessler is the favorite (odds 1.69) and has a good win rate as favorite (70%). Her recent form is solid (60% wins). However, her tendency to lose a set (60%) and Starodubtseva's resistance make this win not guaranteed, but statistically likely.

1.73

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Starodubtseva

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Starodubtseva Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	McCartney Kessler	Yulia Starodubtseva
Win \| Lose	6 4	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	10%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	100%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	25%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	40%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	40%	42%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	71%