08/04/2026

#128

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

14:30

Today

#100

Alejandro Moro Canas

Match Preview

Pablo Llamas Ruiz, the clear favorite (odds 1.31), faces Alejandro Moro Canas in Madrid. Llamas Ruiz shows solid form (80% wins in last 10 matches) and a strong tendency to win matches in 2 sets (80%) when favored. Moro Canas, less consistent (50% wins), shows an ability to push to a 3rd set (40%). No known injury alerts.

Our predictions

Victory for Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Llamas Ruiz is the statistical and odds favorite. His recent form is excellent (8W/2L in 10). He wins 80% of his matches as a favorite and 100% (2/2) when his odds are between 1.0 and 1.2. Moro Canas loses 50% of his recent matches and has no strong history as an outsider against such low favorites.

1.32

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets (Match in 2 sets)

When favored (excluding Grand Slams), Llamas Ruiz finishes his matches in 2 sets 80% of the time (8/10). Moro Canas, as an outsider, loses in 2 sets 70% of the time (7/10). The statistical trend of both players converges towards a short match. Llamas Ruiz's low odds reinforce this probability.

1.45

Confidence

High

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Alejandro Moro Canas
Win \| Lose	8 2	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	42%	100%
% of match in 4 sets or more	14%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	100%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	90%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	50%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	80%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	33%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	40%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	66%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	30%	60%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	33%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	20%	40%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	66%

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