11/04/2026

#51

Aleksandar Vukic

10:30

Today

#90

Otto Virtanen

Match Preview

Barcelona Open qualification match on clay between Aleksandar Vukic, struggling recently (2 wins in 10), and Otto Virtanen, the bookmakers' favorite with more solid form (6 wins in 10). Virtanen performs better as a favorite and on this surface, making him the most serious candidate for qualification.

Our predictions

Otto Virtanen to Win

Otto Virtanen is the clear favorite (odds 1.62). His recent form is superior (60% wins in the last 10 matches vs. 20% for Vukic). He shows a 70% win rate as a favorite, compared to 50% for Vukic. On clay, his statistics as an outsider (80% chance to win a set) show his competitiveness. No injury alerts have been reported for either player.

1.44

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

This bet is consistent with the prediction of a three-set match. A two-set match with tight sets (e.g., 7-5, 6-4) totals 22 games, just below the limit. A three-set match, even with an easy set, easily exceeds 22.5 games (e.g., 6-3, 4-6, 6-2 = 27 games). Given the likelihood of a three-set match and the slow clay surface favoring long rallies, the total number of games should exceed 22.5.

1.85

Confidence

Medium

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Aleksandar Vukic	Otto Virtanen
Win \| Lose	2 8	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	50%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	37%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	62%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	28%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	71%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	60%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	80%	75%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	75%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	75%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	40%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	40%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	60%	25%

Betting actions

Manage your bets and alerts

TODAY'S OFFERS

Exclusive new customer offers