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Tennis

Aleksandar Vukic - Pablo Llamas Ruiz: our prediction

20/04/2026•12:20

#51

Aleksandar Vukic

0:2

4•6

2•6

Finished

#93

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Aleksandar Vukic vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Preview — Madrid Open, Qualification

Aleksandar Vukic faces Pablo Llamas Ruiz in the Madrid Open qualification. Vukic, the underdog, has a difficult recent form (2 wins in last 10 matches). Llamas Ruiz, the favorite with odds of 1.20, shows solid form (8 wins out of 10). The match is played on clay, a surface where both players have similar statistics regarding match length. No injuries reported.

Our Aleksandar Vukic vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz predictions

Pablo Llamas Ruiz to Win

Llamas Ruiz is the clear favorite (odds 1.20). His recent form is excellent (80% win rate in last 10 matches). He has a 100% win rate (4/4) when favored with odds between 1.0 and 1.2. Vukic has weak form (20% win rate) and a 0% win rate (0/1) as an underdog against a favorite in this odds range. The difference in level and confidence is significant.

1.2

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)

Player statistics in non-Grand Slam matches indicate a strong tendency for 2-set matches. Llamas Ruiz wins 80% of his matches in 2 sets (8/10). Vukic loses 80% of his matches in 2 sets (8/10). Furthermore, when Llamas Ruiz is the favorite, he only plays 20% of his matches to 3 sets (2/10). The probability of a 2-set match is therefore high.

1.4

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games

Llamas Ruiz, as the favorite, has a 2-set win rate of 80% (8/10) in non-Grand Slam matches. Vukic, as the underdog, loses 80% of his matches in 2 sets (8/10). A straight-sets victory (e.g., 6-3, 6-4) typically yields 19 or 20 games. The high probability of a 2-set match favors a total games count under 22.5.

1.56

Confidence

High

Market signals on Aleksandar Vukic vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Aleksandar Vukic vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Aleksandar Vukic	Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Win \| Lose	2 8	8 2
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	42%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	14%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	37%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	62%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	50%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	75%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	80%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	16%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	40%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	60%