11/04/2026

#105

Maria Timofeeva

11:30

Today

#376

Yara Bartashevich

Match Preview

Maria Timofeeva, a clear favorite with odds of 1.10, faces Yara Bartashevich (odds 6.00) in the Rouen tournament qualifiers. Timofeeva shows solid form (5 wins in last 10 matches) and a strong tendency to win matches in 2 sets (80% as favorite). Bartashevich, with no recent wins, appears significantly inferior. No injuries reported.

Our predictions

Maria Timofeeva to Win

Timofeeva is the clear favorite (odds 1.10). Her recent stats (5W/5L) are superior to Bartashevich's (0W/3L). She has a 100% win rate (2/2) when favored with odds between 1.0 and 1.2. The outsider has not won any of her last 3 matches. The level difference appears significant.

1.1

Confidence

Very high

Under 22.5 Games

This bet is consistent with a 2-set win for Timofeeva. If she dominates as expected (e.g., 6-3, 6-2), the total games will remain low. However, unexpected resistance from Bartashevich or a tight set could push it over the limit. Confidence is moderate because the most likely scenario (2-set win) generally supports an 'under' on games.

Confidence

Medium

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

Surface

Win

	Maria Timofeeva	Yara Bartashevich
Win \| Lose	5 5	3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	14%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	33%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	0%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	0%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	0%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	0%

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