Rugby

Tennis

Sho Shimabukuro - Ilia Simakin: our prediction

14/04/2026•11:55

Sho Shimabukuro

2:0

6•3

Finished

#202

Ilia Simakin

Sho Shimabukuro vs Ilia Simakin Preview — Busan

Sho Shimabukuro, the odds favorite, faces Ilia Simakin in an ATP match in Busan. Recent statistics show solid form from Simakin (80% wins in last 10 matches) versus 50% for Shimabukuro. However, Shimabukuro performs better as a favorite (60% wins) and in two-set matches (70%). No injuries reported. The match could be tight, with a tendency towards three sets.

Our Sho Shimabukuro vs Ilia Simakin predictions

Under 2.5 sets

Shimabukuro has 70% of matches in two sets in his last 10 (excluding Grand Slams). Simakin, although performing well, has 70% of matches in three sets as a favorite. However, Shimabukuro is the favorite here (odds 1.69) and his stats as a favorite show 60% wins in two sets. The combination suggests a match likely concluded in two sets.

1.57

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games

With a prediction of under 2.5 sets (likely two sets), the total number of games is highly likely to stay under 22.5. Two-set matches tend to have fewer games, especially if one player dominates. Shimabukuro's statistics (70% matches in two sets) support this scenario.

1.82

Confidence

High

Victory of Sho Shimabukuro

Shimabukuro is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.69). He has 60% wins as a favorite in his last 10 matches, compared to 90% for Simakin. However, Simakin's recent form (80% overall wins) is superior. Shimabukuro's favorite status and two-set performance give a slight edge, but the match is uncertain.

1.71

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Sho Shimabukuro vs Ilia Simakin

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Sho Shimabukuro vs Ilia Simakin Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Sho Shimabukuro	Ilia Simakin
Win \| Lose	5 5	8 2
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	90%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	75%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	66%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	66%