Rugby

Tennis

Sho Shimabukuro - Yuta Shimizu: our prediction

23/04/2026•04:00

Sho Shimabukuro

1:2

6•0

6•7

4•6

Finished

#128

Yuta Shimizu

Sho Shimabukuro vs Yuta Shimizu Preview — Gwangju

Sho Shimabukuro, the favorite with odds of 1.40, faces Yuta Shimizu (odds 2.75) in an ATP match in Gwangju. Recent statistics show a slight superiority for Shimabukuro (60% wins in the last 10 matches vs. 40% for Shimizu). Both players tend to play tight matches, with a high probability of losing a set as the favorite (70% each). No injury alerts have been reported.

Our Sho Shimabukuro vs Yuta Shimizu predictions

Victory for Sho Shimabukuro

Shimabukuro is clearly designated as the favorite by bookmakers (odds 1.40). His form statistics are superior (60% wins in the last 10 matches vs. 40% for Shimizu). He shows a 100% win rate (3/3) when favored with odds between 1.21 and 1.5, which matches the current configuration. No known injury disrupts his preparation.

1.45

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Both players' statistics indicate a strong tendency for three-set matches. As the favorite, Shimabukuro loses at least one set 70% of the time. For his part, Shimizu wins at least one set as an underdog 40% of the time overall, and this rate rises to 66.7% against favorites with odds between 1.51 and 1.80. With Shimabukuro's odds at 1.40, a three-set match scenario is very likely.

2.35

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

Predicting a three-set match (over 2.5 sets) significantly increases the chances of exceeding the 22.5 games threshold. Even in a two-set scenario, if the sets are tight (e.g., 7-5, 7-5), the total can be reached. Given the players' profiles and the high probability of a close match, the over on games is a complementary bet consistent with the first two predictions.

1.96

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Sho Shimabukuro vs Yuta Shimizu

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Sho Shimabukuro vs Yuta Shimizu Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Sho Shimabukuro	Yuta Shimizu
Win \| Lose	6 4	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	50%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	75%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	20%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	85%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	85%	66%