Rugby

Tennis

Sho Shimabukuro - Elias Ymer: our prediction

04/06/2026•11:55

Sho Shimabukuro

2:0

6•3

Finished

#55

Elias Ymer

Sho Shimabukuro vs Elias Ymer Preview — Birmingham

Close match between Sho Shimabukuro and Elias Ymer in Birmingham. Both players are perfectly balanced over their last 10 matches (50% wins). Shimabukuro is the favorite with odds at 1.82, but Ymer is not far behind at 1.89. The match promises to be competitive, with a tendency to be decided in 2 sets for both players outside of Grand Slams.

Our Sho Shimabukuro vs Elias Ymer predictions

Under 22.5 games in the match

Both players have a strong tendency to finish their matches in 2 sets outside of Grand Slams (Shimabukuro 60%, Ymer 70%). With tight odds and a match that promises to be balanced, it is likely that the total number of games will stay under 22.5. The fast surface in Birmingham also favors shorter games.

Confidence

High (65 %)

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Statistics show that outside of Grand Slams, Shimabukuro finishes 60% of his matches in 2 sets and Ymer 70%. Since the match is not a Grand Slam, it is very likely to end in 2 sets, which corresponds to under 2.5 sets.

1.58

Confidence

High (65 %)

Victory for Sho Shimabukuro

Shimabukuro is designated as the favorite by bookmakers (odds at 1.82). Although both players have a 50% win rate over their last 10 matches, Shimabukuro has a better win rate as a favorite in this odds range (1.51-1.8) with 50% compared to Ymer's 60%. Furthermore, Shimabukuro has an 80% win rate as an underdog against opponents priced between 1.51 and 1.8, demonstrating his ability to perform in tight matches. Playing at home (Birmingham) could also work in his favor.

1.76

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Market signals on Sho Shimabukuro vs Elias Ymer

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Sho Shimabukuro vs Elias Ymer Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Sho Shimabukuro	Elias Ymer
Win \| Lose	5 5	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	25%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	75%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	25%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	75%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	60%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	80%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	80%	50%