Diego Dedura Palomero vs Sumit Nagal — Prediction
12/04/2026
#214
Diego Dedura-Palomero
12:30
Today
#92
Sumit Nagal
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Match Preview
Diego Dedura-Palomero, the betting favorite, faces Sumit Nagal in the BMW Open qualifiers. Recent statistics show mixed form for both players, with a slight edge for the home player. The match could be tight, with a tendency for Nagal to play three-set matches.
Our predictions
Diego Dedura-Palomero to Win
Dedura-Palomero is the designated favorite (odds 1.56). His statistics as a favorite (50% win rate) are slightly better than Nagal's (40%). Furthermore, he is playing at home, which can be a psychological advantage. Nagal shows a high loss rate (70%) in his last 10 matches.
1.56
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Sets in the Match
Nagal has a strong tendency to play three-set matches (60% outside Grand Slams). Dedura-Palomero, as a favorite, loses at least one set in 70% of cases. This combined data suggests a high probability of the match going to a third set.
2.39
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 Games in the Match
The prediction of a three-set match increases the likelihood of a high game count. Furthermore, the favorite's set loss statistics and the outsider's resilience (Nagal wins a set in 70% of cases as an outsider) indicate that sets could be tight, contributing to exceeding the 22.5 games mark.
2.2
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 40% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 37% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 14% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 42% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 80% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 83% |
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