Diego Dedura-Palomero - Sumit Nagal: our prediction
12/04/2026•13:20

#198

Diego Dedura-Palomero
2:1
6•7
6•3
6•3
Finished

#92

Sumit Nagal
-
1
-
X
-
2
Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Sumit Nagal Preview — BMW Open, Qualification
Diego Dedura-Palomero, the betting favorite, faces Sumit Nagal in the BMW Open qualifiers. Recent statistics show mixed form for both players, with a slight edge for the home player. The match could be tight, with a tendency for Nagal to play three-set matches.
Our Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Sumit Nagal predictions
Diego Dedura-Palomero to Win
Dedura-Palomero is the designated favorite (odds 1.56). His statistics as a favorite (50% win rate) are slightly better than Nagal's (40%). Furthermore, he is playing at home, which can be a psychological advantage. Nagal shows a high loss rate (70%) in his last 10 matches.
1.53
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Sets in the Match
Nagal has a strong tendency to play three-set matches (60% outside Grand Slams). Dedura-Palomero, as a favorite, loses at least one set in 70% of cases. This combined data suggests a high probability of the match going to a third set.
2.4
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 Games in the Match
The prediction of a three-set match increases the likelihood of a high game count. Furthermore, the favorite's set loss statistics and the outsider's resilience (Nagal wins a set in 70% of cases as an outsider) indicate that sets could be tight, contributing to exceeding the 22.5 games mark.
2.2
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Sumit Nagal
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Sumit Nagal Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 40% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 37% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 14% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 42% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 80% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 83% |
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