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Elmer Moeller - Nicolas Jarry: our prediction

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Nicolas Jarry, the clear favorite (odds 1.56), faces Elmer Moeller (odds 2.29) in an ATP match in Oeiras. Recent statistics show that Jarry, when favored, tends to play tight matches, often losing a set. Moeller, as the underdog, sometimes manages to win a set. No injury alerts reported.

Our predictions

Nicolas Jarry to Win
Jarry is the clear favorite (odds 1.56). His statistics as a favorite (50% win rate in last 10 matches) are solid, and he faces Moeller who has only a 30% win rate over the same period. The difference in level should be confirmed.
1.54
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Sets in the Match
When favored, Jarry loses at least one set in 50% of cases (stat 'perd1set_asfav_g'). Moeller, as the underdog, wins at least one set in 30% of cases. Combined with Jarry's tendency for long matches, a 3-set match is likely.
2.26
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 Games in the Match
The probability of a 3-set match (see bet #2) greatly increases the chances of exceeding the 22.5 games threshold. Even in 2 sets, if the sets are tight (e.g., 7-5, 6-4), the total can be reached. Caution is advised as a quick win for Jarry is possible.
1.93
Confidence
Medium

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

17.05.26
Elmer Moeller logo
Elmer Moeller
0
Zsombor Piros logo
Zsombor Piros
0
N
14.05.26
Andres Andrade logo
Andres Andrade
0
Elmer Moeller logo
Elmer Moeller
0
N
14.05.26
Joao Lucas Da Silva logo
Joao Lucas Da Silva
0
Elmer Moeller logo
Elmer Moeller
0
N
13.05.26
Nerman Fatic logo
Nerman Fatic
0
Elmer Moeller logo
Elmer Moeller
0
N
04.05.26
Elmer Moeller logo
Elmer Moeller
0
Nikoloz Basilashvili logo
Nikoloz Basilashvili
0
N
26.04.26
Jannik Sinner logo
Jannik Sinner
0
Elmer Moeller logo
Elmer Moeller
0
N
24.04.26
Elmer Moeller logo
Elmer Moeller
0
Gabriel Diallo logo
Gabriel Diallo
0
N
22.04.26
Elmer Moeller logo
Elmer Moeller
0
Federico Cina logo
Federico Cina
0
N
21.04.26
Pablo Llamas Ruiz logo
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
0
Elmer Moeller logo
Elmer Moeller
0
N
20.04.26
Elmer Moeller logo
Elmer Moeller
0
Hugo Gaston logo
Hugo Gaston
0
N
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