Rugby

Tennis

Elmer Moeller - Gabriel Diallo: our prediction

24/04/2026•12:55

#122

Elmer Moeller

1:0

7•5

3•3

Finished

#54

Gabriel Diallo

Elmer Moeller vs Gabriel Diallo Preview — Madrid Open

Madrid Open match between Elmer Moeller and Gabriel Diallo. Diallo is favored with odds of 1.62, while Moeller is at 2.24. Both players have a similar win rate in their last 10 matches (50% for Moeller, 40% for Diallo). Moeller performs better as a favorite (70% wins) than Diallo (40%). The match is played on an unspecified surface, but statistics indicate a tendency for 2-set matches for both players (80% each).

Our Elmer Moeller vs Gabriel Diallo predictions

Victory for Gabriel Diallo

Gabriel Diallo is the favorite with odds of 1.62, and although his overall statistics show 40% wins, he has a better record as a favorite in this odds range (60% wins between 1.51 and 1.8). Moeller, while having 50% overall wins, tends to lose as an underdog (40% wins). Recent form and Diallo's favorite status lean in his favor.

1.64

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Both players have an 80% rate of 2-set matches outside of Grand Slams, which is the format of the Madrid Open. This indicates a high probability that the match will end in 2 sets, thus under 2.5 sets. Additionally, Diallo's statistics as a favorite show 70% 2-set matches, reinforcing this trend.

1.58

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

Given the high probability of a 2-set match (80% for both players), the number of games should be limited. On average, a tight 2-set match can reach around 20-22 games, but with the tendency for quick sets, it is plausible that the total stays under 22.5. Confidence is medium as it depends on the margin of the sets.

1.9

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Elmer Moeller vs Gabriel Diallo

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Elmer Moeller vs Gabriel Diallo Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Elmer Moeller	Gabriel Diallo
Win \| Lose	5 5	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	66%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	33%	70%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	25%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	75%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	66%	25%
% of match in 4 sets or more	33%	75%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	40%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	60%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	50%