Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Federico Coria: our prediction
14/04/2026•01:40

#81

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
1:2
1•6
6•4
3•6
Finished

#63

Federico Coria
-
1
-
X
-
2
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Federico Coria Preview — Santa Cruz
Federico Coria, the favorite (odds 1.7), faces Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez (odds 2.05). Coria shows more solid form (50% wins in the last 10 matches vs 30% for Rodriguez) and better management of matches as a favorite. Rodriguez, often the underdog, manages to win a set in 50% of cases, suggesting a potentially tight match.
Our Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Federico Coria predictions
Victory for Federico Coria
Federico Coria is the designated favorite (odds 1.7) and shows higher win statistics (50% in the last 10 matches vs 30% for Rodriguez). His performance as a favorite (60% wins) is also better than Rodriguez's (50%). No injury alerts have been identified. Recent form and favorite status support this bet.
1.62
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
The probability of a three-set match (over 2.5 sets) is supported by statistics. A three-set match typically generates more than 22 games, especially if the sets are tight. Given Rodriguez's ability to win sets and Coria's tendency to lose one as a favorite, a high total number of games is plausible.
2.1
Confidence
Medium
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Rodriguez, as an underdog, wins at least one set in 50% of his matches. Coria, as a favorite with odds around 1.7, loses at least one set in 70% of cases. These statistics, combined with the lack of data on quick two-set matches for Coria in this odds range, suggest a significant probability that the match will go beyond two sets.
2.35
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Federico Coria
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Federico Coria Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 66% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 40% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 33% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 80% |
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