Marat Sharipov vs Yasutaka Uchiyama — Prediction
14/04/2026
#123
Marat Sharipov
05:30
Tomorrow
#30
Yasutaka Uchiyama
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Match Preview
Marat Sharipov, favorite with odds of 1.75, faces Yasutaka Uchiyama (odds 1.97) in an ATP match in Busan. Sharipov shows a strong tendency to win matches in 2 sets (80% excluding Grand Slams), while Uchiyama is more consistent in 3 sets (50%). Uchiyama's recent form (70% wins in last 10 matches) versus Sharipov's mixed form (40%) suggests a tight contest.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Sharipov wins 80% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. Uchiyama, although strong in 3 sets, is the underdog. The probability of a 2-set match is high, supported by the favorite's odds.
1.59
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
If Sharipov wins in 2 sets as expected, the total games should remain low. Uchiyama can be competitive, but his tendency to lose sets as a favorite (60%) suggests potentially one-sided sets. The odds 1.97 offer value.
1.96
Confidence
Medium
Victory for Marat Sharipov
Sharipov is the favorite (odds 1.75) and performs well as a favorite (60% wins). However, his recent form is mixed (40% wins in 10 matches). Against in-form Uchiyama (70%), victory is not guaranteed but likely.
1.75
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 28% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 71% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 33% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 66% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 40% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 60% |
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