Stefan Kozlov vs Alex Rybakov — Prediction
14/04/2026•21:20

#124

Stefan Kozlov
0:2
6•7
2•6
Finished

#71

Alex Rybakov
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
ATP tennis match in Tallahassee between Stefan Kozlov (favorite, odds 1.59) and Alex Rybakov (underdog, odds 2.23). Both players show mixed recent form (30% wins in last 10 matches). Kozlov is more effective as a favorite (60% wins) and often wins his matches in 2 sets (70% as favorite). Rybakov, as an underdog, often wins a set (70%). No injury information available.
Our predictions
Stefan Kozlov to Win
Kozlov is the designated favorite (odds 1.59). His statistics as a favorite are solid (60% wins). He has a strong tendency to win in 2 sets (70% as favorite), indicating potential dominance. Rybakov, although resilient (70% chance to win a set as underdog), has less overall success (30% recent wins). No reported injuries contradict this advantage.
1.57
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets
Kozlov wins 90% of his matches (non-Grand Slam) in 2 sets. As a favorite, this rate is 70%. Rybakov, when favorite, also wins 90% of his matches in 2 sets. Even as an underdog, he only forces a 3rd set in 60% of cases. The combined probability of a match in 2 sets is high. Kozlov's expected win in 2 sets reinforces this bet.
1.58
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 Games
Although Kozlov may win in 2 sets, Rybakov has a high probability (70%) of winning at least one set as an underdog. A set lost by Kozlov (70% chance as favorite) could lead to tight scores (e.g., 7-5, 6-4) or a 3rd set. Even a 2-set match with tight sets can exceed 22.5 games. Rybakov's resilience supports this scenario.
1.95
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 75% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 25% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 75% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 25% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 66% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 14% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 71% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 66% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 40% |
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