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Stefan Kozlov - Alex Rybakov: our prediction

14/04/2026•21:20

#124

Stefan Kozlov

0:2

6•7

2•6

Finished

#71

Alex Rybakov

Stefan Kozlov vs Alex Rybakov Preview — Tallahassee

ATP tennis match in Tallahassee between Stefan Kozlov (favorite, odds 1.59) and Alex Rybakov (underdog, odds 2.23). Both players show mixed recent form (30% wins in last 10 matches). Kozlov is more effective as a favorite (60% wins) and often wins his matches in 2 sets (70% as favorite). Rybakov, as an underdog, often wins a set (70%). No injury information available.

Our Stefan Kozlov vs Alex Rybakov predictions

Stefan Kozlov to Win

Kozlov is the designated favorite (odds 1.59). His statistics as a favorite are solid (60% wins). He has a strong tendency to win in 2 sets (70% as favorite), indicating potential dominance. Rybakov, although resilient (70% chance to win a set as underdog), has less overall success (30% recent wins). No reported injuries contradict this advantage.

1.57

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets

Kozlov wins 90% of his matches (non-Grand Slam) in 2 sets. As a favorite, this rate is 70%. Rybakov, when favorite, also wins 90% of his matches in 2 sets. Even as an underdog, he only forces a 3rd set in 60% of cases. The combined probability of a match in 2 sets is high. Kozlov's expected win in 2 sets reinforces this bet.

1.54

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games

Although Kozlov may win in 2 sets, Rybakov has a high probability (70%) of winning at least one set as an underdog. A set lost by Kozlov (70% chance as favorite) could lead to tight scores (e.g., 7-5, 6-4) or a 3rd set. Even a 2-set match with tight sets can exceed 22.5 games. Rybakov's resilience supports this scenario.

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Stefan Kozlov vs Alex Rybakov

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Stefan Kozlov vs Alex Rybakov Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Stefan Kozlov	Alex Rybakov
Win \| Lose	3 7	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	75%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	25%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	75%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	25%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	66%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	60%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	40%	14%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	20%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	71%