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Henry Bernet - Luka Pavlovic: our prediction

20/04/2026•17:45

#489

Henry Bernet

2:0

6•3

6•4

Finished

#197

Luka Pavlovic

Henry Bernet vs Luka Pavlovic Preview — Rome

ATP tennis match in Rome between Henry Bernet and Luka Pavlovic. Pavlovic is the favorite with odds of 1.84 against 1.89 for Bernet. Recent form statistics show a clear advantage for Pavlovic (70% wins in the last 10 matches) compared to only 10% for Bernet. No information on injuries or withdrawals is available. The match is expected to be close, with a high probability of over 2.5 sets.

Our Henry Bernet vs Luka Pavlovic predictions

Luka Pavlovic to Win

Luka Pavlovic shows significantly better form with 70% wins in his last 10 matches, compared to only 10% for Henry Bernet. He is designated as the favorite by bookmakers (odds 1.84). His statistics as a favorite (60% wins) and his ability to win sets as an outsider (80%) strengthen his credibility. No known injury alert.

1.56

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

Player statistics indicate a strong tendency for 3-set matches. Bernet has played 60% of his recent matches in 3 sets as an outsider, and Pavlovic 50% as a favorite. Furthermore, Bernet wins at least one set in 70% of his matches as an outsider, while Pavlovic loses one in 70% of his matches as a favorite. This dynamic suggests a long match.

2.25

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

The anticipation of a 3-set match (over 2.5 sets) mathematically increases the probability of a high number of games. Even a tight 2-set match (e.g., 7-5, 7-5) would total 24 games. Considering the profiles and the tendency for tight sets (Bernet often winning a set as an outsider, Pavlovic losing one as a favorite), the 22.5 game threshold seems reachable.

1.86

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Henry Bernet vs Luka Pavlovic

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Henry Bernet vs Luka Pavlovic Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Henry Bernet	Luka Pavlovic
Win \| Lose	1 9	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	57%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	71%