Rugby

Tennis

Arthur Gea - Vilius Gaubas: our prediction

20/04/2026•10:10

#35

Arthur Gea

0:2

2•6

4•6

Finished

#117

Vilius Gaubas

Arthur Gea vs Vilius Gaubas Preview — Madrid Open, Qualification

Arthur Gea faces Vilius Gaubas in the Madrid Open qualifiers. Gea, in better recent form (70% wins in last 10 matches), is the underdog against Gaubas, the bookmakers' favorite. The match could be tight, with a tendency for three-set matches for both players.

Our Arthur Gea vs Vilius Gaubas predictions

Vilius Gaubas to Win

Gaubas is the designated favorite (odds 1.70). Although Gea has better recent form, Gaubas has a significantly lower odds, indicating a higher perceived probability of winning. No injury information was found for either player.

1.71

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

The prediction of a three-set match (over 2.5 sets) significantly increases the probability of exceeding the 22.5 games threshold. Even a tight two-set match (e.g., 7-5, 7-5) reaches 24 games. The tendency for tight sets and the probability of three sets support this bet.

1.91

Confidence

Medium

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

Statistics show both players have a strong tendency to play three-set matches when favorite or underdog (50% each for Gea, 40-60% for Gaubas). Gea, in particular, often wins at least one set as an underdog (70%). This suggests a potentially long match.

2.3

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Arthur Gea vs Vilius Gaubas

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Arthur Gea vs Vilius Gaubas Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Arthur Gea	Vilius Gaubas
Win \| Lose	7 3	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	100%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	71%	42%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	66%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	66%