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Alexandre Muller - Jan-Lennard Struff: our prediction

22/04/2026•14:05

#70

Alexandre Muller

0:2

6•7

0•6

Finished

#19

Jan-Lennard Struff

Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struff Preview — Madrid Open

Alexandre Muller, the bookmakers' favourite, faces Jan-Lennard Struff at the Madrid Open. Muller shows solid form (6 wins in 10) and good efficiency as a favourite. Struff, less confident (2W/10), could still be dangerous on clay. No major injury alerts known.

Our Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struff predictions

Alexandre Muller to Win

Muller is the clear favourite (odds 1.63). His stats over the last 10 matches are solid: 60% win rate overall and 70% win rate as favourite. Struff wins only 20% of his recent matches and 40% as favourite. Form and favourite status support Muller.

1.6

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Sets in the Match

Set statistics suggest a close match. As a favourite, Muller loses at least one set 60% of the time. Struff, as an outsider, wins at least one set 50% of the time. Furthermore, in a Masters 1000 tournament (non-Grand Slam), Muller plays 40% of his matches as favourite in three sets. A three-set match is likely.

2.3

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 Games in the Match

The probability of a three-set match (see bet no. 2) increases the chances of exceeding 22.5 games. Even in two sets, if the sets are close (e.g., 7-5, 6-4 = 22 games), the line is close. Muller's tendency to lose sets and Struff's ability to win one support a high total games count.

1.85

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struff

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struff Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Alexandre Muller	Jan-Lennard Struff
Win \| Lose	6 4	2 8
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	80%	80%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	25%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	75%	80%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	80%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	40%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	40%	20%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	40%	20%