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Corentin Moutet - Alexandre Muller: our prediction

07/04/2026•15:10

#34

Corentin Moutet

2:0

6•4

6•1

Finished

#70

Alexandre Muller

Corentin Moutet vs Alexandre Muller Preview — Rolex Monte Carlo Masters

Corentin Moutet, the betting favorite, faces his compatriot Alexandre Muller at the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters. Moutet, more experienced on clay, is slightly favored, but Muller has shown solid form recently. The match could be tight, with a significant probability of exceeding 2.5 sets.

Our Corentin Moutet vs Alexandre Muller predictions

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Statistics show a strong trend towards long matches for both players, especially as favorites. Moutet loses at least one set in 60% of his matches as favorite, and Muller wins one in 40% as an outsider. The odds of 2.5 offer good value.

2.28

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

Given the prediction of over 2.5 sets and the players' profiles (Moutet often loses a set as favorite), the match is likely to exceed 22.5 games. However, without a specific odds provided, confidence remains medium.

Confidence

Medium

Victory of Corentin Moutet

Moutet is the betting favorite (1.52) and has a slight statistical advantage on clay. However, his recent form (4 wins out of 10) and Muller's solidity (6 wins out of 10) make this bet risky. Confidence is medium.

1.52

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Corentin Moutet vs Alexandre Muller

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Corentin Moutet vs Alexandre Muller Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Corentin Moutet	Alexandre Muller
Win \| Lose	4 6	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	80%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	25%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	75%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	70%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	75%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	60%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	16%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	40%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	40%