Rugby

Tennis

Moez Echargui - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer: our prediction

21/04/2026•16:50

#139

Moez Echargui

0:2

1•6

0•6

Finished

#121

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Moez Echargui vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Preview — Madrid Open, Qualification

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, the clear favorite (odds 1.30), faces Moez Echargui in the Madrid Open qualifiers. Recent statistics show better form for Budkov Kjaer (5W/5L vs 3W/7L). Echargui, often the underdog, frequently manages to win a set, which could make the match tighter than the odds suggest.

Our Moez Echargui vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer predictions

Victory for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Budkov Kjaer is the statistical and logical favorite (odds 1.30). He shows better recent form (50% wins vs 30% for Echargui) and excellent performance as a favorite (70% wins). His current odds (1.30) fall within a range where his win rate as a favorite is 100% (1 match out of 1). No known injury alerts.

1.26

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

This bet is consistent with the prediction of a 3-set match. A match in 2 tight sets (e.g., 7-5, 7-5) totals 24 games, while a 3-set match easily reaches this threshold. Given Echargui's ability to win sets and Budkov Kjaer's tendency to lose sets as a favorite, a high total number of games is likely.

2.1

Confidence

Medium

Over 2.5 sets (Match in 3 sets)

Statistics from the last 10 non-Grand Slam matches show a tendency for 3-set matches: Echargui 40%, Budkov Kjaer 50%. Furthermore, Echargui wins at least one set as an underdog in 60% of cases, and Budkov Kjaer loses a set as a favorite in 50% of cases. With a favorite odds of 1.30 for Budkov Kjaer, a 3-set victory scenario (e.g., 2-1) is plausible.

2.6

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Moez Echargui vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Moez Echargui vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Moez Echargui	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Win \| Lose	3 7	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	100%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	100%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	10%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	20%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	60%