Rugby

Tennis

Laura Samson - Anna Bondar: our prediction

25/04/2026•11:10

#137

Laura Samson

0:2

6•7

1•6

Finished

#51

Anna Bondar

Laura Samson vs Anna Bondar Preview — Madrid Open

Laura Samson faces Anna Bondar in the first round of the Madrid Open. Bondar is the favorite with odds at 1.32, while Samson is the underdog at 3.39. Bondar has a 70% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to 50% for Samson. Statistics show Bondar is more solid when favored (80% wins) and Samson struggles as an underdog (10% wins). The match is played on clay, Bondar's preferred surface.

Our Laura Samson vs Anna Bondar predictions

Anna Bondar Victory

Anna Bondar is clearly the favorite with odds at 1.32. She has a 70% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to 50% for Samson. Bondar is particularly solid when favored (80% wins), while Samson has only won 10% of her matches as an underdog. Additionally, Bondar has a 100% win record when priced between 1.0 and 1.2, which matches her current odds. The clay surface also favors Bondar.

1.3

Confidence

Very high

Under 22.5 games

Given that the match is expected to end in 2 sets (see previous analysis), the total number of games should be under 22.5. Bondar is favored and should win relatively tight sets but without tiebreaks. The average games per set for Bondar when winning in 2 sets is typically around 10-12 games per set, giving a total well below 22.5.

1.56

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets

Statistics show Bondar finishes 60% of her matches in 2 sets (non-Grand Slam), and Samson 70%. When Bondar is favored, she wins in 2 sets in 70% of cases. Samson as an underdog finishes 80% of her matches in 2 sets. The probability of a 3-set match is therefore low, especially since Bondar is heavily favored and should dominate.

1.44

Confidence

High

Market signals on Laura Samson vs Anna Bondar

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Laura Samson vs Anna Bondar Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Laura Samson	Anna Bondar
Win \| Lose	5 5	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	33%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	88%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	83%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	10%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	0%